Lucero Energy Corp.

OTCPK:PSHI.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$279.7m

Lucero Energy Valuation

Is PSHI.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSHI.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSHI.F ($0.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSHI.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSHI.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PSHI.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSHI.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSHI.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.7x
TGA TransGlobe Energy
2.2xn/aUS$272.3m
GTE Gran Tierra Energy
92.2x39.6%US$309.1m
AMPY Amplify Energy
8x37.9%US$244.4m
REI Ring Energy
4.3x22.1%US$338.5m
PSHI.F Lucero Energy
7.7xn/aUS$383.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSHI.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (34.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSHI.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSHI.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSHI.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSHI.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PSHI.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSHI.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.43
US$0.64
+48.0%
15.9%US$0.87US$0.54n/a7
Jun ’25US$0.47
US$0.64
+37.2%
15.9%US$0.87US$0.55n/a7
May ’25US$0.44
US$0.63
+43.4%
16.3%US$0.87US$0.51n/a9
Apr ’25US$0.45
US$0.62
+37.3%
17.8%US$0.89US$0.52n/a8
Mar ’25US$0.44
US$0.62
+39.0%
17.8%US$0.89US$0.52n/a8
Feb ’25US$0.42
US$0.63
+50.2%
16.6%US$0.90US$0.52n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.68
0%
14.6%US$0.90US$0.52n/a9
Dec ’24US$0.43
US$0.68
+58.7%
11.5%US$0.88US$0.58n/a10
Nov ’24US$0.50
US$0.67
+35.5%
11.9%US$0.88US$0.58n/a10
Oct ’24US$0.50
US$0.65
+30.2%
13.9%US$0.88US$0.51n/a10
Sep ’24US$0.48
US$0.65
+35.8%
14.1%US$0.88US$0.52n/a10
Aug ’24US$0.42
US$0.66
+54.9%
14.9%US$0.91US$0.53n/a10
Jul ’24US$0.41
US$0.66
+60.6%
14.3%US$0.91US$0.57n/a10
Jun ’24US$0.35
US$0.62
+78.9%
16.3%US$0.88US$0.51US$0.4711
May ’24US$0.36
US$0.64
+79.1%
23.0%US$1.07US$0.52US$0.4411
Apr ’24US$0.39
US$0.67
+70.7%
22.2%US$1.07US$0.55US$0.4511
Mar ’24US$0.39
US$0.69
+77.4%
21.1%US$1.08US$0.56US$0.4411
Feb ’24US$0.42
US$0.70
+67.2%
21.0%US$1.09US$0.56US$0.4211
Jan ’24US$0.39
US$0.76
+93.8%
18.9%US$1.06US$0.55n/a11
Dec ’23US$0.42
US$0.82
+94.1%
15.2%US$1.08US$0.67US$0.4310
Nov ’23US$0.46
US$0.81
+75.4%
15.5%US$1.06US$0.62US$0.5010
Oct ’23US$0.39
US$0.85
+119.5%
13.5%US$1.05US$0.65US$0.5010
Sep ’23US$0.45
US$0.95
+110.9%
13.9%US$1.16US$0.69US$0.4810
Aug ’23US$0.54
US$1.04
+95.1%
10.0%US$1.17US$0.86US$0.428
Jul ’23US$0.58
US$1.06
+82.5%
10.5%US$1.17US$0.85US$0.418
Jun ’23US$0.61
US$1.06
+73.0%
14.4%US$1.18US$0.79US$0.357

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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