ARC Resources Ltd.

OTCPK:AETU.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.1b

ARC Resources Valuation

Is AETU.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of AETU.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AETU.F ($17.96) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($36.62)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AETU.F is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AETU.F?

Key metric: As AETU.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AETU.F. This is calculated by dividing AETU.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AETU.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.9x
EarningsCA$1.28b
Market CapCA$13.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AETU.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AETU.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.3x
OVV Ovintiv
50.4x33.27%US$11.6b
AR Antero Resources
16.9x11.80%US$10.4b
APA APA
6.6x2.15%US$9.5b
RRC Range Resources
15.5x18.55%US$8.7b
AETU.F ARC Resources
10.9x-2.37%US$13.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AETU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (22.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AETU.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TGA TransGlobe Energy
2.2xn/aUS$272.31m
SAFX XCF Global
0.4xn/aUS$39.95m
TOPS Top Ships
2.1xn/aUS$23.36m
MVO MV Oil Trust
1.4xn/aUS$16.33m
AETU.F 10.9xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies22PE01020304050+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AETU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AETU.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AETU.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio16.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AETU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AETU.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.96
US$21.03
+17.06%
9.80%US$25.71US$18.36n/a20
Feb ’27US$18.59
US$22.61
+21.62%
7.73%US$25.94US$20.01n/a19
Jan ’27US$18.81
US$22.62
+20.26%
6.16%US$25.50US$20.40n/a19
Dec ’26US$18.15
US$22.15
+22.02%
5.77%US$25.05US$20.04n/a18
Nov ’26US$18.47
US$23.11
+25.15%
5.48%US$25.74US$21.45n/a18
Oct ’26US$18.51
US$23.74
+28.25%
7.60%US$27.31US$21.56n/a17
Sep ’26US$19.27
US$24.68
+28.06%
5.60%US$27.63US$22.54n/a17
Aug ’26US$19.79
US$24.83
+25.45%
5.76%US$27.54US$22.47n/a18
Jul ’26US$20.85
US$25.11
+20.43%
5.44%US$27.90US$22.76n/a15
Jun ’26US$20.85
US$24.84
+19.16%
5.44%US$27.69US$22.59n/a15
May ’26US$18.17
US$23.46
+29.09%
5.20%US$26.73US$20.95n/a18
Apr ’26US$20.40
US$23.22
+13.81%
6.23%US$27.26US$20.97n/a16
Mar ’26US$18.40
US$22.77
+23.79%
6.12%US$25.58US$20.05n/a16
Feb ’26US$17.14
US$22.64
+32.09%
6.39%US$25.45US$19.95US$18.5917
Jan ’26US$18.12
US$22.34
+23.32%
6.10%US$24.39US$20.21US$18.8117
Dec ’25US$18.44
US$22.46
+21.81%
7.13%US$24.88US$19.19US$18.1517
Nov ’25US$16.58
US$22.03
+32.89%
8.45%US$25.18US$19.42US$18.4717
Oct ’25US$17.50
US$22.40
+27.99%
7.56%US$25.94US$20.01US$18.5116
Sep ’25US$18.37
US$22.89
+24.58%
7.01%US$25.97US$20.78US$19.2716
Aug ’25US$16.57
US$22.14
+33.61%
7.55%US$25.23US$19.46US$19.7916
Jul ’25US$17.93
US$22.18
+23.69%
7.61%US$25.58US$19.73US$20.8516
Jun ’25US$18.85
US$21.89
+16.11%
7.84%US$25.48US$18.93US$20.8516
May ’25US$17.80
US$21.08
+18.41%
7.71%US$23.98US$18.17US$18.1716
Apr ’25US$17.97
US$19.98
+11.19%
7.09%US$23.63US$18.46US$20.4016
Mar ’25US$17.28
US$19.68
+13.92%
7.37%US$23.58US$18.42US$18.4016
Feb ’25US$15.54
US$19.85
+27.74%
7.27%US$23.90US$17.93US$17.1416
US$21.05
Fair Value
14.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/13 23:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/13 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ARC Resources Ltd. is covered by 29 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Grant HoferBarclays