Uranium Energy Valuation

Is UEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UEC ($8.14) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($7.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UEC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UEC?

Key metric: As UEC barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for UEC. This is calculated by dividing UEC's market cap by their current book value.
What is UEC's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4.3x
BookUS$778.11m
Market CapUS$3.54b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does UEC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for UEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
CEIX CONSOL Energy
2.4x-1.0%US$3.7b
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
1.9x-7.2%US$3.5b
BTU Peabody Energy
0.9x-7.7%US$3.2b
NRP Natural Resource Partners
2.7xn/aUS$1.4b
UEC Uranium Energy
4.3x7.0%US$3.5b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: UEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.3x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does UEC's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.06xn/aUS$10.27m
VTNR.Q Vertex Energy
0.06xn/aUS$6.99m
FECO.F FEC Resources
0.2xn/aUS$1.46m
VELX.Q Canadian Overseas Petroleum
0.05xn/aUS$1.10m
UEC 4.3xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies26PB012345+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: UEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.3x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.5x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UEC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UEC PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4.3x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UEC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.14
US$10.88
+33.6%
9.9%US$13.00US$10.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$7.29
US$10.61
+45.5%
10.4%US$13.00US$9.65n/a6
Oct ’25US$6.55
US$10.48
+60.1%
11.2%US$13.00US$9.50n/a6
Sep ’25US$5.23
US$10.26
+96.1%
11.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$5.33
US$10.26
+92.4%
11.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$5.76
US$10.26
+78.1%
11.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$7.14
US$10.36
+45.2%
11.2%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
May ’25US$6.84
US$10.36
+51.5%
11.2%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$7.07
US$10.33
+46.1%
11.2%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$6.94
US$10.33
+48.8%
11.4%US$13.00US$9.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$8.20
US$9.68
+18.1%
19.9%US$13.00US$6.60n/a6
Jan ’25US$6.40
US$7.31
+14.2%
10.2%US$8.50US$6.50n/a7
Dec ’24US$6.54
US$6.99
+6.8%
7.8%US$8.25US$6.50n/a7
Nov ’24US$5.80
US$6.95
+19.8%
6.6%US$8.00US$6.50US$7.297
Oct ’24US$5.15
US$6.70
+30.1%
9.5%US$8.00US$6.00US$6.557
Sep ’24US$4.40
US$6.82
+54.9%
9.0%US$8.00US$6.00US$5.236
Aug ’24US$3.60
US$6.82
+89.4%
9.0%US$8.00US$6.00US$5.336
Jul ’24US$3.40
US$6.85
+101.5%
9.0%US$8.00US$6.00US$5.766
Jun ’24US$2.89
US$6.85
+137.0%
9.0%US$8.00US$6.00US$7.146
May ’24US$2.47
US$6.85
+177.3%
11.0%US$8.25US$5.75US$6.846
Apr ’24US$2.88
US$6.85
+137.8%
11.0%US$8.25US$5.75US$7.076
Mar ’24US$3.72
US$6.89
+85.3%
10.1%US$8.25US$6.00US$6.946
Feb ’24US$4.13
US$6.89
+66.9%
10.1%US$8.25US$6.00US$8.206
Jan ’24US$3.88
US$6.87
+77.1%
11.1%US$8.25US$6.00US$6.405
Dec ’23US$3.68
US$6.92
+88.0%
10.2%US$8.25US$6.25US$6.545
Nov ’23US$4.12
US$6.92
+68.0%
10.2%US$8.25US$6.25US$5.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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