Stock Analysis

Bristow Group Inc. (NYSE:VTOL) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$48.50

NYSE:VTOL
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Shareholders of Bristow Group Inc. (NYSE:VTOL) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 15% to US$38.05 following its latest quarterly results. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Bristow Group after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Bristow Group

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NYSE:VTOL Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

After the latest results, the dual analysts covering Bristow Group are now predicting revenues of US$1.56b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 34% to US$2.59. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.56b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.07 in 2025. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the massive increase in earnings per share expectations following these results.

The consensus price target rose 15% to US$48.50, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Bristow Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 11% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.6% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Bristow Group to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Bristow Group's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Bristow Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bristow Group you should know about.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bristow Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.