Ultrapar Participações Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ultrapar Participações is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 3.5% and 2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.8% in 3 years.

Key information

3.5%

Earnings growth rate

3.1%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	2.5%
Revenue growth rate	2.0%
Future return on equity	15.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	29 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UGP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	136,362	2,704	2,456	3,901	7
12/31/2025	134,359	2,500	2,076	3,584	11
12/31/2024	132,580	2,296	4,169	3,715	12
12/31/2023	126,049	2,440	2,562	3,850	N/A
9/30/2023	128,585	2,171	2,488	3,607	N/A
6/30/2023	135,396	1,477	1,814	2,998	N/A
3/31/2023	142,683	1,653	1,320	2,538	N/A
12/31/2022	143,635	1,499	798	2,005	N/A
9/30/2022	139,582	1,000	-83	1,190	N/A
6/30/2022	129,739	986	-701	501	N/A
3/31/2022	119,206	708	-27	1,213	N/A
12/31/2021	109,733	785	1,320	2,586	N/A
9/30/2021	93,861	599	1,340	2,390	N/A
6/30/2021	85,171	708	1,599	2,613	N/A
3/31/2021	74,701	637	1,414	2,335	N/A
12/31/2020	74,058	613	2,233	3,138	N/A
9/30/2020	81,688	201	1,980	3,106	N/A
6/30/2020	84,129	233	2,067	3,200	N/A
3/31/2020	89,946	301	2,216	3,394	N/A
12/31/2019	89,298	374	1,753	2,925	N/A
9/30/2019	89,102	1,148	2,777	3,896	N/A
6/30/2019	89,733	1,177	2,600	3,787	N/A
3/31/2019	90,686	1,310	2,190	3,464	N/A
12/31/2018	90,698	1,150	1,473	2,889	N/A
9/30/2018	88,579	1,037	235	1,814	N/A
6/30/2018	85,086	1,254	-221	1,399	N/A
3/31/2018	81,437	1,248	-233	1,372	N/A
12/31/2017	79,230	1,527	215	1,739	N/A
9/30/2017	76,968	1,568	N/A	2,458	N/A
6/30/2017	76,071	1,400	N/A	2,791	N/A
3/31/2017	76,373	1,529	N/A	2,945	N/A
12/31/2016	77,353	1,562	N/A	2,514	N/A
9/30/2016	78,848	1,620	N/A	3,054	N/A
6/30/2016	78,563	1,539	N/A	3,218	N/A
3/31/2016	77,776	1,504	N/A	2,785	N/A
12/31/2015	75,655	1,503	N/A	3,202	N/A
9/30/2015	72,897	1,379	N/A	2,750	N/A
6/30/2015	71,037	1,409	N/A	2,741	N/A
3/31/2015	69,193	1,380	N/A	2,927	N/A
12/31/2014	67,736	1,242	N/A	2,651	N/A
9/30/2014	66,141	1,245	N/A	2,295	N/A
6/30/2014	64,750	1,244	N/A	2,193	N/A
3/31/2014	63,287	1,227	N/A	2,180	N/A
12/31/2013	60,940	1,225	N/A	2,121	N/A
9/30/2013	59,043	1,160	N/A	2,412	N/A
6/30/2013	57,244	1,124	N/A	2,147	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UGP's forecast earnings growth (3.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: UGP's earnings (3.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UGP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UGP's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UGP's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UGP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.8%).

Ultrapar Participações Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Ultrapar: The Peak Is Here

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2024

Ultrapar Participações S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 17, 2024

Ultrapar: It Seems Time To Move On (Rating Downgrade)

Ultrapar's Impressive Q3 Performance Raises Valuation Concerns

Ultrapar: Caution Amidst Brazil's Uncertain Fuel Pricing

Ultrapar Participações S.A. Approves Dividend, Payable on August 25, 2023 Onwards

Making Sense Of Ultrapar's Run-Up And Why It's Still A Buy

Ultrapar Participações S.A. Approves Dividends, Payable on March 3, 2023

Ultrapar Participacoes reports Q4 2022 results

Ultrapar Continues Over Investing But Is A Speculative Play On Brazil

Ultrapar: On Hold Despite The Ambitious New Capex Plan

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023

Ultrapar Participacoes GAAP EPS of R$0.07, revenue of R$39.48B

Ultrapar Likely Has No Margin Of Safety And Should Deleverage

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

Third Avenue - Ultrapar: Lot Of Room For Valuation Upside

Ultrapar Participações S.A. announced delayed 20-F filing

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 11, 2022

Indorama Ventures Spain S.L. and Tereftalicos Industrias Quimicas Ltda completed the acquisition of Oxiteno S.A. Industria e Comercio from Ultrapar Participações S.A. (BOVESPA:UGPA3).

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 23, 2022

Ultrapar: Better To Await Developments

Empreendimentos Pague Menos S.A. (BOVESPA:PGMN3) agreed to acquire Extra Farma Ltda. from Ultrapar Participações S.A. (BOVESPA:UGPA3) and others for BRL 700 million.

Pague Menos Reportedly Acquires Extrafarma from Ultrapar

Ultrapar Participações S.A. 2021 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation

Ultrapar Participacoes reports Q1 results

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q1, 2021 Results on May 05, 2021

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 24, 2021

Petrobras Negotiates Sale of Refap Refinery with Ultrapar

Ultrapar Participações S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 14, 2021

Essar, Raizen and Ultrapar Reportedly Consider Bid for Petrobras' Refinery

Ultrapar Participações S.A. 2020 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation

Ultrapar Participacoes reports Q3 results

Ultrapar Participações S.A. to Report Q2, 2020 Results on Aug 12, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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