Par Pacific Holdings (PARR): Valuation Insights Ahead of Earnings With Analysts Maintaining Optimism

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) is slated to release its latest earnings report soon, and forecasts indicate revenue could dip by 14% from a year ago. Despite this, analyst sentiment remains upbeat, with investors closely watching the upcoming results.

See our latest analysis for Par Pacific Holdings.

Par Pacific Holdings has gained serious momentum lately, with its share price jumping 14.5% over the past month and soaring more than 139% since the start of the year. Factoring in dividends, the stock’s one-year total shareholder return stands at a remarkable 156%, making it one of the standout performers in its sector.

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With such impressive gains this year, investors might wonder if Par Pacific Holdings is trading below its true value, or if the market has already accounted for all of its anticipated growth. Could there still be a buying opportunity?

Most Popular Narrative: 1% Undervalued

With the most widely followed narrative setting Par Pacific Holdings' fair value at $40.38, the last close price of $39.98 sits just a touch below this target. The stage is set for a deeper dive as recent strategic moves and updated forecasts capture investor attention on where the company could go next.

The strategic partnership with Mitsubishi and ENEOS, along with the upcoming SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) project launch, positions Par Pacific for growth in renewable fuels. This enhances market access, leverages global feedstock procurement expertise, and is expected to positively contribute to earnings and net margin expansion starting in 2026.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a fuels partnership could transform margins? The full narrative breaks down which projection pivots everything and why 2026 could change the game. Can you spot what drives this valuation? Find out below.

Result: Fair Value of $40.38 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heavy reliance on older refineries and regional concentration means that stricter regulations or unexpected outages could quickly shift Par Pacific's outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Par Pacific Holdings narrative.

Build Your Own Par Pacific Holdings Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers on your own terms, you can craft a personalized view in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Par Pacific Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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