Stock Analysis

Is Nine Energy Service (NYSE:NINE) Using Debt Sensibly?

NYSE:NINE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NYSE:NINE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nine Energy Service

What Is Nine Energy Service's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nine Energy Service had debt of US$317.8m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from US$379.0m over a year. However, it also had US$53.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$264.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:NINE Debt to Equity History July 7th 2021

A Look At Nine Energy Service's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nine Energy Service had liabilities of US$53.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$351.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$53.0m and US$49.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$302.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$81.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Nine Energy Service would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nine Energy Service's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Nine Energy Service made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$231m, which is a fall of 69%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Nine Energy Service's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$94m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$22m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Nine Energy Service is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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