Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Nordic American Tankers Limited's (NYSE:NAT) P/S Ratio

NYSE:NAT
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.1x in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Nordic American Tankers Limited's (NYSE:NAT) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Nordic American Tankers

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NAT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 30th 2024

What Does Nordic American Tankers' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been pleasing for Nordic American Tankers as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Nordic American Tankers' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Nordic American Tankers' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen a 10% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 8.2% each year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 2.2% per annum.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Nordic American Tankers' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Nordic American Tankers' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

While Nordic American Tankers' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nordic American Tankers (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nordic American Tankers is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.