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Kinetik Holdings Inc.NYSE:KNTK Stock Report

Market Cap US$8.1b
Share Price
US$50.54
US$48.38
4.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y23.0%
7D5.0%
Portfolio Value
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Kinetik Holdings Inc.

NYSE:KNTK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.1b

KNTK Community Fair Values

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Kinetik Holdings Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Kinetik Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$50.54
52 Week HighUS$51.11
52 Week LowUS$31.33
Beta0.88
1 Month Change4.40%
3 Month Change23.54%
1 Year Change22.97%
3 Year Change84.12%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO63.69%

Recent News & Updates

KNTK: Future Returns Will Hinge On FY26 Cash Flow And Sale Prospects

Analysts have nudged Kinetik Holdings' price targets higher by low single digit dollar amounts, pointing to model updates that reflect firmer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower projected profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the refined views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinetik Holdings has centered on refreshed models after the latest earnings results, updated guidance and shifting expectations around Permian natural gas takeaway capacity and Waha-related headwinds.

KNTK: Future Returns Will Depend On FY26 Cash Flow And Takeover Outcomes

The analyst fair value estimate for Kinetik Holdings has increased by about $1.35 to $46.00. This reflects slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a marginally lower discount rate, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and a series of recent price target increases from firms such as Barclays, Scotiabank, RBC Capital, Goldman Sachs, Citi, Jefferies, and Wells Fargo, partly offset by a few trims and downgrades from UBS, JPMorgan, Wolfe Research, and others.

KNTK: Future Returns Will Hinge On FY26 Cash Flow And Sale Interest

The analyst price target for Kinetik Holdings in this framework has shifted from $40.00 to $44.65 as analysts factor in updated P/E assumptions, improved margin forecasts, and a series of recent target revisions and rating changes across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Kinetik Holdings show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and ratings as they refresh models for the U.S. midstream space and incorporate the latest earnings results, guidance, and commodity assumptions.

Recent updates

KNTK: Future Returns Will Hinge On FY26 Cash Flow And Sale Prospects

Analysts have nudged Kinetik Holdings' price targets higher by low single digit dollar amounts, pointing to model updates that reflect firmer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower projected profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the refined views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinetik Holdings has centered on refreshed models after the latest earnings results, updated guidance and shifting expectations around Permian natural gas takeaway capacity and Waha-related headwinds.

KNTK: Future Returns Will Depend On FY26 Cash Flow And Takeover Outcomes

The analyst fair value estimate for Kinetik Holdings has increased by about $1.35 to $46.00. This reflects slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a marginally lower discount rate, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and a series of recent price target increases from firms such as Barclays, Scotiabank, RBC Capital, Goldman Sachs, Citi, Jefferies, and Wells Fargo, partly offset by a few trims and downgrades from UBS, JPMorgan, Wolfe Research, and others.

KNTK: Future Returns Will Hinge On FY26 Cash Flow And Sale Interest

The analyst price target for Kinetik Holdings in this framework has shifted from $40.00 to $44.65 as analysts factor in updated P/E assumptions, improved margin forecasts, and a series of recent target revisions and rating changes across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Kinetik Holdings show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and ratings as they refresh models for the U.S. midstream space and incorporate the latest earnings results, guidance, and commodity assumptions.

KNTK: Permian Gas Projects And Dividend Will Offset Waha And Sale Uncertainty

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Kinetik Holdings from about $45.54 to roughly $48.38, citing updated price targets around $49 to $51 and research that points to Q4 earnings beats, improved contract structures, and a more constructive medium term growth outlook, despite ongoing Waha related headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kinetik Holdings reflects a mix of optimism around execution and growth projects alongside valuation and regional pricing concerns.

Kinetik Holdings: Better Off Handing Over The Keys To Western Midstream

Mar 10

KNTK: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Of FY26 Cash Flow Guidance

Analysts have modestly increased their average price target on Kinetik Holdings to reflect recent Street moves, including Jefferies lifting its target to $49 from $43 and Wells Fargo moving to $44 from $40, citing factors such as "attainable" FY26 guidance, improved contract structures, and expectations for better cash flow visibility into 2026 and 2027. Analyst Commentary Even with the recent uptick in price targets, the tone from several research desks remains cautious, especially around valuation, forward growth and execution on guidance.

KNTK: Permian Gas Projects And Higher Dividend Will Balance Execution Risks

Analysts have trimmed their overall price expectations for Kinetik Holdings, reflecting slight adjustments to assumptions such as a modestly lower discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple, as recent research updates cited valuation concerns and mixed fundamental signals behind a series of target cuts and rating downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinetik Holdings presents a mixed picture, with some analysts focusing on potential upside drivers and others emphasizing execution risks and valuation concerns.

KNTK: New Permian Gas Takeaway And Dividend Growth Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Kinetik Holdings higher to about $45.54 from $44.77, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as recent price target changes across firms remain mixed. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kinetik Holdings has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and one downgrade in rating.

Kinetik Holdings (NYSE:KNTK) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.81

Jan 26
Kinetik Holdings (NYSE:KNTK) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.81

KNTK: Permian Gas Takeaway Expansion Will Support Earnings Power And Rebound Potential

Narrative Update on Kinetik Holdings The updated analyst price target for Kinetik Holdings shifts to about US$53 from roughly US$66, with analysts pointing to revised expectations for growth, profitability and future P/E, alongside recent target moves from firms like Scotiabank, RBC Capital and Mizuho. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinetik Holdings highlights a mix of cautious revisions and ongoing confidence in the company’s long term prospects.

KNTK: Future Returns Will Balance Permian Gas Capacity Gains And Earnings Headwinds

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Kinetik Holdings by about $2 per share, reflecting reduced fair value estimates amid higher discount rates and near term EBITDA headwinds, partly offset by stronger expected revenue growth and the longer term benefit of added Permian gas takeaway capacity. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have recently reduced price targets on Kinetik Holdings, reflecting heightened caution around the company’s near term earnings trajectory and capital efficiency.

KNTK: New Permian Gas Takeaway Will Support Future Cash Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Kinetik Holdings by about $6 per share to roughly the mid $40s, citing softer Q3 results, reduced near term EBITDA expectations, and commodity price driven volume headwinds, partly offset by anticipated long term benefits from new Permian gas takeaway capacity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but still generally constructive outlook on Kinetik Holdings, with multiple firms lowering price targets into the mid to high $40s while maintaining positive ratings.

KNTK: Expanding Permian Takeaway Will Support Future Cash Returns

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Kinetik Holdings to approximately $45 from about $46.50, citing softer near term revenue growth and margin expectations following Q3 underperformance and lowered 2025 EBITDA guidance. At the same time, they highlight improving Permian gas takeaway capacity and supportive long term fundamentals.

KNTK: Expanding Permian Takeaway And Asset Sale Will Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target for Kinetik Holdings from approximately $49.92 to $46.33 per share. They cite weaker Q3 results, revised management guidance, and ongoing macro headwinds related to commodity prices as the reasons for this adjustment.

These Analysts Think Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:KNTK) Sales Are Under Threat

Nov 08
These Analysts Think Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:KNTK) Sales Are Under Threat

KNTK: Improving Cash Flows And Asset Sale Prospects Will Drive Outperformance

Kinetik Holdings' average analyst price target has been revised slightly downward from approximately $50.42 to $49.92. Analysts cite shifting cash flow priorities, updated sector valuations, ongoing cost concerns, and expectations for steadier growth in the midstream industry.

Analyst Commentary Highlights Shifting Outlooks and Modest Valuation Changes for Kinetik Holdings

The average analyst price target for Kinetik Holdings has decreased modestly from $51.45 to $50.42. Analysts cite increased operating expenses, softer gas prices, and a greater focus on shareholder returns instead of growth as the main reasons for the change.

Infrastructure Projects In Northern Delaware And Permian Will Sustain Demand

Kinetik Holdings’ analyst price target was recently lowered by several dollars. Analysts cite shifting sector dynamics and near-term earnings pressures as key factors for their updated outlook.

Infrastructure Projects In Northern Delaware And Permian Will Sustain Demand

Analysts modestly raised Kinetik Holdings' price target to $52.27 as capital return takes precedence over growth, supported by positive sector M&A and resilient gas exposure, despite near-term earnings headwinds from weaker commodity prices and volume pressures. Analyst Commentary Shift in investor focus from growth to return of cash, with increased emphasis on reducing capex and enabling buybacks or higher dividends.

Infrastructure Projects In Northern Delaware And Permian Will Sustain Demand

Kinetik Holdings' consensus price target was revised down from $53.36 to $51.50 as analysts weighed near-term earnings headwinds from sluggish production growth, weaker commodity prices, and increased capital expenditures against a resilient long-term outlook for gas-focused midstream operators. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts point to slowed basin-level production growth and "curtailed" volumes continuing in Q2, which are expected to weigh on near-term earnings.

Kinetik Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNTK) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

Jul 01
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNTK) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

Kinetik Holdings: Approaching The Buy Zone After A Pullback

Mar 11

Kinetik Holdings: Growth Prospects Are Now Fairly Priced (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 15

Kinetik Holdings: An Overvalued Rapidly Growing Midstream Idea

Nov 10
User avatar

Heavy Investments And Expansion Risks Cloud Future Profitability And Investor Confidence

Heavy capital expenditures on acquisitions and expansions may strain free cash flow, affecting net margins due to high upfront costs.

Kinetik Holdings: Upgrading To A Strong Buy Following Q2 Earnings

Aug 15

Shareholder Returns

KNTKUS Oil and GasUS Market
7D5.0%4.2%0.6%
1Y23.0%41.1%28.7%

Return vs Industry: KNTK underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 40.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: KNTK underperformed the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is KNTK's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KNTK volatility
KNTK Average Weekly Movement5.1%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement6.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: KNTK has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: KNTK's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2017500Jamie Welchwww.kinetik.com

Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines; and water gathering and disposal services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), and crude oil.

Kinetik Holdings Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Kinetik Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
KNTK fundamental statistics
Market capUS$8.06b
Earnings (TTM)US$165.04m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.76b
21.1x
P/E Ratio
2.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
KNTK income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.76b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.05b
Gross ProfitUS$712.23m
Other ExpensesUS$547.19m
EarningsUS$165.04m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 06, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)2.40
Gross Margin40.37%
Net Profit Margin9.35%
Debt/Equity Ratio129.4%

How did KNTK perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.4%
Current Dividend Yield
118%
Payout Ratio

Does KNTK pay a reliable dividends?

See KNTK dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy KNTK by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Kinetik Holdings dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateApr 24 2026
Dividend Pay DateMay 01 2026
Days until Ex dividend7 days
Days until Dividend pay date0 days

Does KNTK pay a reliable dividends?

See KNTK dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 07:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kinetik Holdings Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Theresa ChenBarclays
Jean Ann SalisburyBofA Global Research
Spiro DounisCitigroup Inc