Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Exterran Corporation (NYSE:EXTN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Exterran Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Exterran had US$516.6m of debt, up from US$495.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$28.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$488.4m.
A Look At Exterran's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Exterran had liabilities of US$308.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$696.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$28.2m as well as receivables valued at US$232.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$743.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$154.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Exterran would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Exterran's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.96, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Exterran improved its EBIT by 2.8% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Exterran's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Exterran burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Exterran's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Exterran has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Exterran is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About NYSE:EXTN
Exterran
Exterran Corporation, a systems and process company, provides various solutions in the oil, gas, water, and power markets worldwide.
Undervalued with worrying balance sheet.