Stock Analysis

How DT Midstream’s Record Quarter and Raised 2025 Guidance Will Impact DTM Investors

  • DT Midstream, Inc. reported third-quarter 2025 net income of US$115 million, or US$1.13 per diluted share, surpassing analyst estimates and announcing higher full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance following the successful expansion of key pipeline projects.
  • The company's early, on-budget commissioning of the LEAP Phase 4 project and upsized Guardian Pipeline expansion highlight its focus on accelerating infrastructure development and responding to growing energy demand.
  • Given the increased full-year guidance and successful project delivery, we'll examine how DT Midstream's updated outlook impacts its investment narrative.

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DT Midstream Investment Narrative Recap

To own DT Midstream, investors typically need confidence in sustained North American natural gas infrastructure demand, robust pipeline utilization, and visibility on long-term cash flows. The latest earnings beat and increased guidance reinforce positive near-term momentum, but the underlying risk remains: significant capital spending on pipeline expansions could become a drag if long-term demand unexpectedly weakens or decarbonization accelerates. For now, the outperformance does not materially change that the most pressing short-term catalyst is infrastructure project execution, while the risk of asset underutilization persists.

Among recent announcements, the on-budget, early completion of the LEAP Phase 4 expansion stands out as directly relevant to the investment story. This milestone reinforces DT Midstream's record of delivering on growth projects and bolsters management's updated confidence in raising its Adjusted EBITDA outlook, bringing nearer-term support to the key catalyst of project delivery and utilization gains.

Yet, despite stronger earnings, investors should still weigh the possibility that...

Read the full narrative on DT Midstream (it's free!)

DT Midstream's outlook anticipates $1.6 billion in revenue and $606.6 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on analysts expecting a 12.0% annual revenue growth rate and an earnings increase of $230.6 million from the current $376.0 million.

Uncover how DT Midstream's forecasts yield a $114.69 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DTM Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
DTM Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Community fair value estimates for DT Midstream range from US$96.75 to US$136.04 across three member forecasts, highlighting very different outlooks. While some see upside driven by project execution, others may focus on the risks tied to long-term demand, for a balanced view, read what the Simply Wall St Community believes and compare several perspectives for yourself.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on DT Midstream - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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