DCP Midstream, LP

NYSE:DCP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.7b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

DCP Midstream Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 3/6

DCP Midstream is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 4.13% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

4.1%

Dividend yield

n/a

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yieldn/a
Future Dividend Yield4.9%
Dividend Growth-4.8%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio32%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Feb 15

DCP Midstream: Stock Might Plateau At Current Price Given Peak In Demand For Oil

Summary DCP Midstream is a midstream oil & gas firm that operates in both gathering & processing and logistics & marketing business segments. Although revenue and net profits are at a higher growth rate, I believe it is not sustainable in the next couple of years. The whole midstream oil & gas sector has been performing very well the last couple of years. The firm is a market leader in natural gas liquids (NGLs) and the demand for NGLs looks sustainable. I rate the stock a Hold for the reasons stated below. Investment Thesis DCP Midstream (DCP) had performed well during the last couple of years. Given geopolitical conditions and strong demand for energy, the midstream sector as a whole had a great couple of years. However, the question for a long-term investor like me always has been: Are the revenues sustainable, does the demand for oil persist, given better accessibility of sustainable alternatives? A report Global Energy Perspective 2022 by McKinsey says this is the case for the industry as a whole, but not for DCP. Additionally, the report says demand for natural gas is going up by 10% in the next decade and that DCP is a leader in the natural gas liquids (NGLs) segment. What the company does DCP Midstream LP is a midstream company that provides a suite of gathering, processing, transporting & storing natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, it operates in 9 states in the United States along with Mexico and Canada. The Fortune 500 company is a joint venture between Phillip 66 (PSX) and Enbridge (ENB). It operates mainly in 2 business segments, logistics & marketing (transportation and marketing of natural gas, NGL, and crude oil) and gathering & processing (transportation of natural gas from wellheads to market centers, and storage of natural gas). By operating in both business segments, DCP Midstream can provide a full suite of midstream services, making it one of the largest gatherers and providers of natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the United States. Recent Corporate Performance Although the firm had a history of cyclical revenue and profit growth, in recent years the firm has reported strong numbers in both revenues and profits. Net income has reported a staggering 160% growth in the last reported year. Recent year-on-year revenue growth reported is 34%. However, this revenue growth is similar to the median revenue growth of its peers. This indicates that the midstream industry as a whole has seen an increase in revenues, largely due to various geopolitical and macro factors. Given how DCP Midstream performed, it could be evidence that the firm has found itself a moat (a competitive advantage). However, it looks like that is not the case. This begs the obvious question of why net profit growth is huge compared to the growth in revenue. This is because of a myriad of factors ranging from a decrease in their operating expenses to a sudden increase in non-operating income (a one-off item on the income statement). Strengths The main strength of DCP Midstream as a business is its extensive network of assets including pipelines, processing plants & storage facilities. This position helps the firm retain the leadership position it has in the natural gas liquid segment and keeps competitors at bay. Looking at the business segments, the firm has almost equal revenues generated from its 2 business segments. This provides the firm with a healthy diversification of its assets. On the balance sheet, DCP has lower financial leverage (debt to the total value) of 40% compared to the average debt to the total value of peers of 60%. This shows the firm has less solvency risk compared to its peers. Although the cash on the balance sheet of $1 million is alarming in 2021, recent filings reported cash in hand of around $93 million. The present current ratio, which measures the liquidity risk of the firm, is 0.68. This means that DCP Midstream can cover 68% of its short-term liabilities with its short term assets. Due to the surge in the revenues the firm has seen since 2021, the operating cash the firm has generated has increased. The cash flow from investing activities reveals that the firm has decreased its investments compared to the pre-pandemic era. Weaknesses With the trend toward cars running on electricity, the attention now given to carbon emissions, and alternative energy sources increasing, it is a pressing issue to question the future of the oil and gas industry. What sectors are going to use oil and gas for energy, and what sectors can move to alternative energy sources? According to the report Global Energy Perspective 2022 by McKinsey, with the demand for alternative energy sources on an uptrend, demand for oil will peak during the next 2 years. However, for the next decade, the projected growth of demand for natural gas is 10%. This certainly is a positive thing for DCP as they are some of the largest distributors of natural gas & NGLs. However, it would be wise if DCP starts exploring and investing in renewable energy given the rapidly changing energy landscape. Looking Forward I have valued the company based on discounted cash flow ((DCF)) and comparable company multiples valuations. The average intrinsic stock price based on the above methods is around $31 compared to the $42 the stock is currently trading at.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

DCP Midstream GAAP EPS of $1.13 beats by $0.25, revenue of $3.03B beats by $1B

DCP Midstream press release (NYSE:DCP): Q4 GAAP EPS of $1.13 beats by $0.25. Revenue of $3.03B (-12.9% Y/Y) beats by $1B.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

DCP Midstream declares $0.43 dividend

DCP Midstream (NYSE:DCP) declares $0.43/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 4.1% Payable Feb. 14; for shareholders of record Feb. 3; ex-div Feb. 2. See DCP Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 02

DCP Midstream GAAP EPS of $1.50, revenue of $4.32B

DCP Midstream press release (NYSE:DCP): Q3 GAAP EPS of $1.50. Revenue of $4.32B (+52.7% Y/Y). Generated $52 million and $553 million of excess free cash flow for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively, after fully funding distributions and growth capital, inclusive of the James Lake acquisition.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 26

DCP Midstream goes ex dividend tomorrow

DCP Midstream (NYSE:DCP) declares $0.43/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Payable Nov. 14; for shareholders of record Oct. 28; ex-div Oct. 27. See DCP Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

DCP Midstream GAAP EPS of $1.77 beats by $0.70, revenue of $4.27B misses by $230M

DCP Midstream press release (NYSE:DCP): Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.77 beats by $0.70. Revenue of $4.27B (+104.3% Y/Y) misses by $230M. Record financial performance driven by strong G&P earnings resulting in increases in adjusted EBITDA of 9%, distributable cash flow of 9%, and excess free cash flow of 3%, quarter over quarter. Reduced absolute debt by ~$200 million and closed the quarter with 2.9 times leverage. Received Investment Grade upgrade from Fitch and Positive Outlook from S&P. Record year-to-date financial performance and strong outlook for the second half of the year have DCP positioned to significantly exceed the high end of 2022 financial guidance for adjusted EBITDA and DCF.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 21

DCP Midstream raises dividend by 10% to $0.43

DCP Midstream (NYSE:DCP) declares $0.43/share quarterly dividend, 10.3% increase from prior dividend of $0.39. Forward yield 5.62% Payable Aug. 12; for shareholders of record July 29; ex-div July 28. See DCP Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 05

DCP Midstream: Don't Forget The Preferreds

Market sell-offs open up opportunities not only in stocks but bonds and preferreds as well. DCP Midstream is one of the few remaining midstream firms with publicly-traded preferreds. They are likely to be retired soon. Buying at a discount to par allows investors to pick up a high yield coupon plus being made whole when they are retired, likely inside the next two years. The market sell-off has been widespread and aggressive, including within the energy sector. It's an interesting dynamic, as energy in particular retains many of the strong fundamentals it had just months ago - and in some cases better. Most of the recommendations floating around out there (including from me) are going to be directed towards common equity, but panics like this create opportunities elsewhere in the capital structure. There is value in DCP Midstream (DCP) in its units, bonds, and preferreds in my view, but today I'm going to focus on those two publicly-traded preferred stock issues. Essentially, the partnership is one of the few that still has preferred stock outstanding in energy, and I don't think that lasts. Even in a more benign commodity price environment, DCP Midstream stands to generate significant free cash flow after paying out the distribution. With most of its debt structure rolled over in recent years and basically all of it now trading well below par after the move in rates, it makes no sense to retire these before maturity even though most are continuously callable. That leaves any free cash flow not being returned to unitholders open to just one thing: retiring these preferreds. As of now, these are currently trading below par, so investors are going to pick up a relatively high yield plus the premium when they are retired. Preferred Stock Terms Both the DCP Midstream Series B (DCP.PB) and Series C (DCP.PC) Preferreds are publicly traded, offering relatively high current coupons for income seekers: 7.875% and 7.95%, respectively. Right off the bat, note that these are fixed to floating issues, meaning they have a date where the rate paid by these preferreds will swap over to an annual floating payout. On June 2023, the Series B Preferred Units will have a floating distribution reset equal to three month SOFR plus a spread of 4.919%. Futures for that currently sit at roughly 300bps, so the rate will reset to approximately 7.9%. The Series C Preferred Units reset just a few months later in October of 2023, with a largely similar outlook (4.882% plus 3M SOFR, so roughly 7.9% payout). A couple of years ago, management likely had little interest in retiring these Preferreds. Prior to its removal as a benchmark (read more about LIBOR converting to SOFR), 3M LIBOR had plummeted to 0.25%, symptomatic of Federal Reserve money printing and a flight of capital to safer investments. Futures indicated these rates staying low for quite some time, with the view that the outlook for rate hikes was fairly abysmal post-pandemic. While still more expensive than where DCP Midstream was able to issue bonds at once the energy market recovered, management was already looking forward to "saving" money during the reset. That has changed now. When I spoke to DCP Midstream during the EIC Midstream conference just under two months ago in May, my read on management was that they would be looking to retire these preferreds quite soon, likely within a year to two year time frame. Obviously a lot of things have changed in the time since, both in the energy market or just the overall market as a whole. Even still, I think the game plan there is not likely to change. To me, the decision to retire is going to come down to two factors: the EBITDA outlook and credit spreads. Forecasts for EBITDA has not really changed too much for DCP Midstream. 2022 and 2023 analyst consensus has remained stable over the past two months (roughly $1,650mm). While commodity prices have come down somewhat, 2022 partnership guidance of $1,425mm at the midpoint was based off of $70.00 West Texas Intermediate and $3.50 per mmbtu NYMEX natural gas. We're still well above that, crude oil prices in 2023 have not moved much even with recession fears, and while there has been some weakness in natural gas, investors that mark to market the business will still find the futures strip implies $1,600mm of EBITDA potential. That implies $650mm per year in excess free cash flow after distributions - a heck of a lot of cash. Offsetting, credit spreads have widened some. When I talked to management, CUSIP 23311VAK3 (Unsecured 2032 Notes) were trading at 5.3% yield to maturity. These represent what I think is pretty representative of where they would try to issue debt at to refinance the Preferreds as far as duration / terms are concerned. In the time since, bond prices have weakened, with the yield widening out to 6.3%. Meanwhile, the Series B and Series C Preferreds have stayed relatively the same. This means there is less financing savings from retiring the preferreds.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 02

DCP Midstream Remains An Interesting Investment

DCP Midstream has gone from a company once at risk of bankruptcy to having one of the strongest midstream asset positions. The company has a strong dividend yield of more than 4%, which it has guided towards increasing in the 2nd half of the year. The company can continue to rapidly pay down its debt, saving on interest expenses, and leaving more cash flow for other uses. The company's significant asset spare capacity means the ability for continued cash flow growth without additional cost. We expect the company to be able to continue generating double-digit overall shareholder returns.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 30

DCP Midstream: Earn A Very Sustainable 5.50% Yield

DCP Midstream is one of the largest midstream partnerships in the United States and boasts a very strong position in the Permian Basin. The company's distribution cut in 2020 appears to have been for the best as it now has a very sustainable financial structure. The company enjoys remarkably stable cash flows, although its growth potential appears to be somewhat limited. The company has a reasonable debt load for the sector. The company is generating substantially more cash than it needs to cover the distribution, which could result in a distribution increase in the near future.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 11

DCP Midstream - Room To Run

DCP Midstream's NGL and natural gas volumes have held up remarkably well over the past year. The lack of new drilling in the US has allowed DCP to shrink their capex budget which in turn allows higher free cash flow and greater debt reduction. The energy sector backdrop is extremely favorable for energy companies. Low production levels and higher demand have allowed energy prices to soar creating a goldilocks environment for beleaguered energy companies. DCP has equity volumes exposed to the higher prices, which will create higher earnings.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: DCP's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: DCP's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.

Dividend Yield vs Market

DCP Midstream Dividend Yield vs Market
How does DCP dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (DCP)4.1%
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Oil and Gas)3.3%
Analyst forecast (DCP) (up to 3 years)4.9%

Notable Dividend: DCP's dividend (4.13%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.6%).

High Dividend: DCP's dividend (4.13%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.92%).

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (32%), DCP's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (23.5%), DCP's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/06/16 10:01
End of Day Share Price 2023/06/14 00:00
Earnings2023/03/31
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

DCP Midstream, LP is covered by 20 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrossBarclays
Dennis ColemanBofA Global Research
Akil MarshBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)