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California Resources Corporation's (NYSE:CRC) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) as an attractive investment with its 8.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
California Resources could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for California Resources
How Is California Resources' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as California Resources' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 41%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 44% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 3.5% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that California Resources' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that California Resources maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with California Resources (at least 2 which are potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than California Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CRC
California Resources
Operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.
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