Stock Analysis

Is Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) Using Too Much Debt?

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NYSE:CNR

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Core Natural Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CNR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Core Natural Resources

What Is Core Natural Resources's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Core Natural Resources had US$186.9m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$416.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$229.2m.

NYSE:CNR Debt to Equity History January 30th 2025

A Look At Core Natural Resources' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Core Natural Resources had liabilities of US$540.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$754.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$416.0m as well as receivables valued at US$145.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$733.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Core Natural Resources is worth US$2.70b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Core Natural Resources also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Core Natural Resources's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 46% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Core Natural Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Core Natural Resources may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Core Natural Resources produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 77% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

Although Core Natural Resources's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$229.2m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$389m, being 77% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Core Natural Resources's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Core Natural Resources (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.