Antero Midstream Corporation's (NYSE:AM) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.225 per share on 5th of November. This means that the annual payment will be 4.9% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Antero Midstream's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Before this announcement, Antero Midstream was paying out 95% of earnings, but a comparatively small 60% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
EPS is set to grow by 33.6% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 78% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.
View our latest analysis for Antero Midstream
Antero Midstream's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, Antero Midstream's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2017, the dividend has gone from $0.186 total annually to $0.90. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 22% over that duration. Antero Midstream has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Antero Midstream Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Antero Midstream has impressed us by growing EPS at 34% per year over the past five years. EPS is growing rapidly, although the company is also paying out a large portion of its profits as dividends. If earnings keep growing, the dividend may be sustainable, but generally we'd prefer to see a fast growing company reinvest in further growth.
In Summary
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Antero Midstream that you should be aware of before investing. Is Antero Midstream not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AM
Antero Midstream
Owns, operates, and develops midstream energy assets in the Appalachian Basin.
Proven track record and fair value.
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