Kolibri Global Energy Valuation

Is KGEI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KGEI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate KGEI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate KGEI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KGEI?

Key metric: As KGEI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KGEI. This is calculated by dividing KGEI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KGEI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	8.3x
Earnings	US$17.27m
Market Cap	US$144.07m

KGEI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.2x
PEG Ratio	2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KGEI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KGEI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21.4x
PED PEDEVCO	33.2x	35.6%	US$77.9m
MVO MV Oil Trust	5.8x	n/a	US$106.6m
EPM Evolution Petroleum	43.7x	n/a	US$199.7m
REI Ring Energy	2.8x	6.9%	US$317.1m
KGEI Kolibri Global Energy	8.3x	2.9%	US$201.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KGEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KGEI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum	0.09x	n/a	US$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy	0.03x	-10.3%	US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas	n/a	n/a	US$6.00

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KGEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KGEI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KGEI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	8.3x
Fair PE Ratio	7.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KGEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Murphy Oil

US$4.9b

Operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

MUR

US$33.40

1.3%

-21.6%

Calfrac Well Services

CA$344.9m

Provides specialized oilfield services in Canada, the United States, and Argentina.

CFWF.F

CA$2.89

5.9%

-13.4%

Aker BP

NOK 146.6b

Explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.

AKRB.F

NOK 21.57

5.1%

-26.3%