Gevo, Inc.

NasdaqCM:GEVO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$399.0m

Gevo Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Gevo does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

-0.08%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield-0.08%
Future Dividend Yield0%
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

No updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 11

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know

Gevo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GEVO ) just released its latest first-quarter report and things are not looking great. Revenues...
Narrative Update Apr 24

GEVO: Project Execution And Funding Discipline Will Shape Future Earnings Multiple

Gevo's updated narrative keeps fair value at $2.00, while analysts trim their price target by $0.25. This points to recalibrated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as they reassess the company alongside recent sector research.
Seeking Alpha Apr 17

GEVO: Attempting To Capture The Short Jet Fuel Market

Summary Gevo, Inc. is rated Strong Buy, leveraging ethanol and carbon sequestration to address a looming jet fuel supply gap. Recent withdrawal from DOE financing for the ATJ-30 North Star project shifts focus to private funding, with existing assets de-risking the investment. Intermediate EBITDA growth is supported by production expansion and third-party CO2 sequestration, with potential to reach $110m by 2028. North Star project could add $150m incremental EBITDA, but political and operational risks remain material for GEVO’s outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 10

GEVO: Policy Support And Project Ramp Will Shape Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts lifted their Gevo price target by $0.75, citing modestly higher projected revenue growth, slightly stronger anticipated profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption that together support the updated view. Analyst Commentary The recent Gevo price target change sits in a broader context where many research notes have centered on power, utilities and energy transition themes.
Narrative Update Mar 26

GEVO: Capacity And Order Timing Fears Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Gevo's updated analyst price target reflects small adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions. Analysts cite stronger demand and margin potential across power and utilities peers as a key input to their view.
Narrative Update Mar 11

GEVO: Power Capacity Fears Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Gevo's updated analyst price target holds at $2.00, with analysts pointing to lower modeled revenue growth of 7.12% but slightly higher profit margin assumptions and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple to explain the refined outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on the broader power and utilities space has included a mix of upgrades, downgrades, and price target changes, with several firms reassessing risk and growth assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 24

GEVO: Power Capacity Fears And CEO Succession Will Shape Future Outlook

Gevo's analyst price target has been revised to $2.00, with analysts citing modest adjustments in revenue growth assumptions, profit margin expectations, and forward P/E inputs as the key factors behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around the broader power and energy transition space points to a mix of optimism and caution.
Narrative Update Feb 10

GEVO: Power Capacity Risks And CEO Succession Will Shape Future Risk Reward

Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Gevo at US$2.00, while adjusting assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These changes reflect updated views on earnings power and risk following recent sector research on power capacity, data centers and demand trends in related energy names.
Narrative Update Jan 26

GEVO: Execution And Leadership Transition Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

Narrative Update on Gevo Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations on Gevo, with a slightly lower implied future P/E of about 45.65x and marginally higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins. This reflects updated views on long term earnings power while keeping fair value around $2.00 per share.
Narrative Update Jan 12

GEVO: DOE Loan Extension And Execution Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have maintained their $2.00 fair value estimate for Gevo while adjusting assumptions for slower revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E. This reflects the view that the extended US$1.6b Department of Energy loan commitment reduces financing risk around its sustainable aviation fuel buildout.
Narrative Update Dec 27

GEVO: Future Execution And Policy Shifts Will Shape Risk Reward Balance

Analysts have nudged their price target on Gevo modestly higher to $2.00 per share from a prior $2.00, citing slightly faster expected revenue growth and sustained margin and valuation assumptions supported by improving sector demand indicators. Analyst Commentary While the latest price target revision on Gevo is modestly positive, broader Street commentary still reflects a cautious stance on execution risk and the pathway to scaled profitability.
Narrative Update Dec 12

GEVO: Lower Financing Risk May Not Prevent Severe Multiple Compression

Analysts have raised their price target on Gevo to $2.00 from $1.15, reflecting lower perceived risk and a willingness to pay a higher future earnings multiple, even as they temper expectations for long term revenue growth and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Gevo and its broader energy and power peers underscores a more balanced risk reward profile, with analysts acknowledging improved funding visibility while remaining cautious on the pace and profitability of long term growth.
Narrative Update Nov 26

GEVO: Department of Energy Loan Extension Will Support Project Expansion Momentum

Gevo's analyst price target has increased modestly from $5.92 to $6.08, as analysts cite the extension of its Department of Energy loan and continued progress on sustainable aviation fuel as factors supporting a constructive outlook. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Gevo remains mixed following recent company developments and the extension of its Department of Energy loan.
Narrative Update Oct 16

Low-Carbon Aviation And Carbon Credits Will Redefine Future Markets

Gevo's analyst price target increased from $5.55 to $5.92. This change is supported by analysts who cite the Department of Energy's extension of the $1.6 billion loan as resolving a major financing overhang and improving growth visibility for the company's sustainable aviation fuel expansion plans.
Analysis Article Sep 19

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) Looks Just Right With A 31% Price Jump

Gevo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GEVO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The...
Narrative Update Sep 04

Low-Carbon Aviation And Carbon Credits Will Redefine Future Markets

Despite continued optimism from analysts around GE Vernova's financial strength, growth prospects, and resilience to sector headwinds, Gevo's consensus analyst price target remained unchanged at $5.55. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited GE Vernova's strong Q2 financial performance, including solid order momentum, raised EBITDA guidance, and margin improvements as reasons for price target increases.
Analysis Article May 14

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase Gevo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GEVO) CEO Compensation

Key Insights Gevo to hold its Annual General Meeting on 21st of May Total pay for CEO Pat Gruber includes US$670.8k...
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 25

DOE Backed Ethanol-to-Jet And SaaS Projects Will Build Future Value

Transformative acquisitions and partnerships are expected to boost net margins and revenue through carbon monetization and lower production costs.
Seeking Alpha Jan 05

Gevo: Sell The Rally On Elevated Valuation And Weak Prospects

Summary While aspiring sustainable aviation fuel provider Gevo's Q3/2024 results were nothing to write home about, the quarter turned out to be eventful. The company agreed to acquire an ethanol plant with related carbon capture and sequestration assets and secured a $1.63 billion conditional loan commitment for its NZ1 project in South Dakota. However, due to the upcoming administration change and a recent CO2 pipeline project setback in South Dakota, the loan is not likely to fund anytime soon if ever. Despite the company's challenges, momentum traders appear to have rediscovered Gevo's shares in recent weeks thus resulting in valuation approaching much larger and highly profitable peer Rex American Resources. Considering the company's elevated valuation and weak near-term prospects, I am reiterating my "Sell" rating on Gevo's shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 23

Gevo Makes Funding Progress But Competitive Risks Loom

Summary Gevo received a $1.46 billion loan commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy, boosting its Net-Zero 1 project for sustainable aviation fuel. The DOE's funding significantly reduces Gevo's execution risk, but competitive threats from well-capitalized energy giants cannot be ignored. Gevo's SAF production aims to meet rising demand, but the company may face challenges in achieving long-term competitive advantages. Gevo is an interesting company, but potential investors may want to remain on the sidelines for a few positive signs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 16

Gevo: Expensive Ethanol Plant Acquisition May Not Meet Expectations -- Sell

Summary Aspiring sustainable aviation fuel provider Gevo, Inc. has a long history of overpromising and underdelivering. Over the past decade, the company has burned almost $600 million in cash with little tangible results. However, last week's acquisition of an ethanol plant and carbon capture and sequestration assets appears to have put the company back on the map of momentum traders. While the transaction will result in Gevo becoming a real business with revenue-generating assets, management's projections for near-term Adjusted EBITDA profitability look overly ambitious. In addition, the company's valuation looks high when compared to much larger competitor Alto Ingredients. Moreover, investors need to be wary of potential dilution from open market sales. Given valuation concerns and overly ambitious near-term profitability targets, investors should consider selling the rally in Gevo's shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 07

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

The analysts covering Gevo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GEVO ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GEVO's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GEVO's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Gevo Dividend Yield vs Market
How does GEVO dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (GEVO)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.3%
Industry Average (Oil and Gas)3.2%
Analyst forecast (GEVO) (up to 3 years)0%

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GEVO's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GEVO's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate GEVO's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as GEVO has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 18:04
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gevo, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
J. HorwitzBaird
John QuealyCanaccord Genuity
Prashant RaoCitigroup Inc