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Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Expand Energy Corporation's (NASDAQ:EXE) Price
Expand Energy Corporation's (NASDAQ:EXE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.2x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Expand Energy
How Expand Energy Has Been Performing
Expand Energy has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is predicting a change in fortunes for the company and is expecting them to blow past the rest of the industry, elevating the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Expand Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Expand Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Expand Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 58%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 44% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 106% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.3%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Expand Energy's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Expand Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Expand Energy you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Expand Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:EXE
Expand Energy
Operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States.
High growth potential moderate.