Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Calumet, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CLMT) Revenues

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, Calumet, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLMT) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Calumet

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CLMT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 16th 2024
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How Has Calumet Performed Recently?

Recent times have been more advantageous for Calumet as its revenue hasn't fallen as much as the rest of the industry. It might be that many expect the comparatively superior revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. But at the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff completely if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Calumet will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Calumet?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Calumet's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 10%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 91% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.8% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 3.2% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Calumet is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Calumet's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Calumet's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Calumet that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Calumet, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:CLMT

Calumet

Manufactures, formulates, and markets a diversified slate of specialty branded products and renewable fuels to various consumer-facing and industrial markets in North America and internationally.

Moderate growth potential and slightly overvalued.

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