Aemetis (AMTX) Stock Overview
Operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 0/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
AMTX Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 25 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Aemetis, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$3.12 |
| 52 Week High | US$3.80 |
| 52 Week Low | US$1.22 |
| Beta | 1.46 |
| 1 Month Change | 6.48% |
| 3 Month Change | 96.23% |
| 1 Year Change | 129.41% |
| 3 Year Change | 76.27% |
| 5 Year Change | -65.37% |
| Change since IPO | -97.92% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization Will Pressure Returns Despite Growing Renewable Gas Platform
Aemetis’ analyst price target has been revised to $2.50, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around a 9.28% discount rate, 61.85% revenue growth, a 12.63% profit margin, and a future P/E of 2.37 as key drivers of their valuation reset. What's in the News The Audit Committee approved the engagement of KPMG LLP as Aemetis' independent registered public accounting firm starting with the quarter ending March 31, 2026.Narrative Update • Apr 12
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization And RNG Platform Will Shape Future Cash Flows
Analysts have made modest adjustments to their price target on Aemetis, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, while maintaining the fair value estimate at $2.50. What's in the News The Audit Committee approved the engagement of KPMG as Aemetis' independent registered public accounting firm starting with the quarter ending March 31, 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 27
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization Will Increase Dilution Risk For Future Cash Flows
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Aemetis to $2.50. This reflects updated assumptions around a 60.87% revenue growth outlook, a 12.32% profit margin and a P/E of 2.48 that together point to a different balance of growth expectations and required return than before.Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Buy Aemetis As It Hits Multiple Catalysts In 2026
Summary Aemetis is positioned for significant growth, driven by layered tax credits and operational catalysts across biofuels, RNG, and carbon capture. I rate AMTX a strong buy for risk-tolerant growth investors, citing imminent profitability, major tax credit monetization, and mounting need for biofuels. Projecting $400M in 45Z tax credit revenue through 2029, with further upside if credits are extended, underpins a compelling margin expansion story. Liquidity from the India IPO and operational efficiencies could unlock substantial value, making AMTX undervalued at a ~$200M market cap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization Will Pressure Returns Despite Growing Renewable Gas Platform
Aemetis’ analyst price target has been revised to $2.50, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around a 9.28% discount rate, 61.85% revenue growth, a 12.63% profit margin, and a future P/E of 2.37 as key drivers of their valuation reset. What's in the News The Audit Committee approved the engagement of KPMG LLP as Aemetis' independent registered public accounting firm starting with the quarter ending March 31, 2026.Narrative Update • Apr 12
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization And RNG Platform Will Shape Future Cash Flows
Analysts have made modest adjustments to their price target on Aemetis, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, while maintaining the fair value estimate at $2.50. What's in the News The Audit Committee approved the engagement of KPMG as Aemetis' independent registered public accounting firm starting with the quarter ending March 31, 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 27
AMTX: Expanded Share Authorization Will Increase Dilution Risk For Future Cash Flows
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Aemetis to $2.50. This reflects updated assumptions around a 60.87% revenue growth outlook, a 12.32% profit margin and a P/E of 2.48 that together point to a different balance of growth expectations and required return than before.Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Buy Aemetis As It Hits Multiple Catalysts In 2026
Summary Aemetis is positioned for significant growth, driven by layered tax credits and operational catalysts across biofuels, RNG, and carbon capture. I rate AMTX a strong buy for risk-tolerant growth investors, citing imminent profitability, major tax credit monetization, and mounting need for biofuels. Projecting $400M in 45Z tax credit revenue through 2029, with further upside if credits are extended, underpins a compelling margin expansion story. Liquidity from the India IPO and operational efficiencies could unlock substantial value, making AMTX undervalued at a ~$200M market cap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Mar 12
AMTX: Increased Share Capacity Will Support Future Cash Flow Expansion
Analysts have nudged their price target for Aemetis to $2.50, reflecting refreshed assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E that are now slightly more favorable in their models. What's in the News Aemetis held a special meeting of stockholders on February 18, 2026, at a&o Shearman LLP in Menlo Park, California.Narrative Update • Feb 25
AMTX: Energy Efficiency Project And Tax Credits Will Drive Future Cash Flows
Analysts have kept their Aemetis fair value estimate steady at $2.50 while making only slight tweaks to growth, margin, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. This has led to a modestly refined price target rather than a major reset.Narrative Update • Feb 10
AMTX: Energy Efficiency Project And Tax Credits Will Strengthen Future Cash Flows
Analysts have lifted their price target on Aemetis to US$2.50, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples in their updated models. What's in the News Aemetis has proposed amending its Certificate of Incorporation to reduce authorized preferred stock from 65,000,000 shares to 5,000,000 shares, which could affect future capital structure flexibility (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 29
Even With A 39% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aemetis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMTX) Performance Completely
Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 39% in the last...Narrative Update • Jan 26
AMTX: Energy Efficiency Project Will Drive Future Cash Flows And Tax Credits
Analysts have raised their price target on Aemetis, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as key drivers of the updated valuation. What's in the News Aemetis has proposed amending its Certificate of Incorporation to reduce authorized preferred stock from 65,000,000 shares to 5,000,000 shares, changing the potential mix of future equity capital the company can issue (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 10
AMTX: Energy Efficiency Project Will Reshape Cash Flows And Tax Credit Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Aemetis, citing updated assumptions that keep fair value around $2.50, reflect a slightly lower discount rate, more moderate revenue growth and a higher profit margin. Together, these changes point to a less demanding future P/E multiple in their models.Narrative Update • Dec 14
AMTX: Future Cash Flows Seen Rising From Energy Efficiency Upgrade
Analysts have raised their price target on Aemetis to reflect stronger projected revenue growth, modestly higher long term margins, and a lower anticipated future earnings multiple. Together, these factors support a higher implied equity value per share in dollar terms than in the prior forecast.Analysis Article • Nov 22
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Stock's 38% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
The Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 38...Analysis Article • Oct 08
Aemetis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMTX) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last...
Narrative Update • Aug 10
California And India Will Drive Renewable Fuel Market Expansion
Aemetis’ consensus price target has been raised from $13.50 to $17.00 as analysts express increased confidence in its long-term renewable fuels growth potential and regulatory milestones, particularly the approval of key California biogas pathways. Analyst Commentary Approval of provisional Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) pathways for seven Aemetis Biogas dairy digesters by the California Air Resources Board, effective January 2025, supporting the company's expansion in renewable fuels.Analysis Article • Aug 08
Benign Growth For Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Underpins Stock's 31% Plummet
NasdaqGM:AMTX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Aemetis's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Stock Rockets 26% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • May 11
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results
Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) missed earnings with its latest first-quarter results, disappointing overly-optimistic...Analysis Article • May 07
Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Aemetis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMTX) CEO Compensation For Now
Key Insights Aemetis will host its Annual General Meeting on 14th of May Total pay for CEO Eric McAfee includes...New Narrative • May 05
Policy Approvals And Tax Credits Will Expand Renewable Fuel Sectors
Anticipated regulatory changes and tax credits are expected to enhance revenue and earnings by increasing market demand and reducing effective costs.Analysis Article • Apr 17
It's Down 35% But Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) share price has dived 35% in the last thirty...Seeking Alpha • Mar 27
Aemetis: Robust Revenue Growth But Profits Remain Elusive
Summary Aemetis, Inc. has seen its shares halved due to expanding losses, share dilution, and a weak cash position despite strong revenue growth. The company's ambitious plan aims to grow revenue from ~$300M to $2B by 2028, with a 38% CAGR and 83% CAGR in adjusted EBITDA. Aemetis' three key segments—California Ethanol, India Biodiesel, and Dairy Renewable Natural Gas—posted strong growth, but profits remain elusive, with significant losses in the renewable natural gas segment. The company faces risks from potential changes in clean energy benefits under the current administration and ongoing share dilution, but the upcoming IPO of the India Biodiesel business may help reduce debt. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 20
Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Performing In The Near Term
Market forces rained on the parade of Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...Analysis Article • Jan 23
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX)
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) is a stock worth...Seeking Alpha • Dec 19
Aemetis: I Have Serious Concerns
Summary Aemetis faces severe financial distress, with their SEC Filing raising "substantial doubts" about their ability to "continue as a going concern". Most notably, they face impending debt maturities as well as a lack of profitability with almost non-existent gross margins. Their equity issuances are highly dilutive due to a weak share price, and thus they are not a viable strategy to relieve their financial distress. An Indian IPO may raise cash but should not relieve financial distress because proceeds are intended for growth, not debt repayment. Given this outlook, I would completely avoid owning their shares. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 08
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Soars 28% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Those holding Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Sep 17
Aemetis: Low Cash Reserves With An Uphill Battle To Secure More Financing
Summary Rising debt and $11.7 million in interest expenses increase concerns about the company’s ability to service obligations without securing part of the $234 million mixed shelf offering. Aemetis reported a $13.6 million operating loss in Q2 2024 with just $0.23 million in cash reserves. I anticipate liquidity challenges will persist in the near term. Ethanol prices dropped from $3.12 to $1.99 per gallon in the past year, and biodiesel production fell by 20%. This will continue pressuring profitability. I believe securing additional financing will be difficult, given weak financials and ongoing operational losses. Without financing, long-term viability remains questionable, motivating my Sell rating for this stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 08
Take Care Before Jumping Onto Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Even Though It's 25% Cheaper
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty...Analysis Article • Jun 15
Investors Give Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Shares A 25% Hiding
Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Seeking Alpha • May 15
Aemetis: Getting Ready For Breakout Growth
Summary Aemetis, a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company, reported strong revenue growth in its operating segments, including a 3,276.7% YoY jump in revenue. The company plans to meet ambitious growth targets by expanding its RNG segment and developing a sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) production facility. SAF adoption by airlines has been slow due to high costs, but European mandates and commitments from major airlines could drive demand and improve the economics of SAF production. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 02
Aemetis: Counting On The Potential
Summary Aemetis is a renewable energy company focused on negative carbon intensity products and technologies. The company has a strong presence in California and benefits from pro green energy policies. Aemetis' revenue is primarily driven by its California Ethanol segment, but it is looking to grow its India Biodiesel and Dairy RNG segments. Its new five-year growth plan to expand on dairy renewable, dRNG, Jet/Renewable diesel and Carbon Capture are an innovative way to achieve Carbon Zero with more rapid growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 20
Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Aemetis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMTX) Performance Completely
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • May 21
Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Revenues
Shareholders in Aemetis, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major...Analysis Article • Apr 18
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Aemetis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMTX) Revenues
Aemetis, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AMTX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing investment...Seeking Alpha • Sep 07
Aemetis wins $7B worth of fuel supply contracts
Aemetis (NASDAQ:AMTX) has been awarded $7B worth of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel (RD) supply contracts with ten airlines. The agreements cover a total of 916M gallons of blended SAF, and come after a contract for 450M gallons of RD with a major travel stop chain. The combined value of the contracts with 10 airlines - including one with Cathay Pacific (OTCPK:CPCAY) - is ~$3.8B. Aemetis will deliver the SAF over a seven-to-ten year time frame. The airline customers include American Airlines (AAL), British Airways, Delta Air Lines (DAL), Jet Blue Airlines, Finnair, Iberia, Japan Airlines, Qantas and Cathay Pacific. The SAF will be delivered as blended fuel to San Francisco International Airport and Los Angeles International Airport and the RD will be delivered to Northern California truck fueling locations. Both will be produced at the Aemetis (AMTX) production plant under development in Riverbank, California, designed to use renewable hydrogen and zero carbon intensity hydroelectric electricity to hydrotreat sustainable renewable oils.Seeking Alpha • Aug 04
Aemetis GAAP EPS of -$0.01 beats by $0.35, revenue of $65.9M beats by $6.58M
Aemetis press release (NASDAQ:AMTX): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.01 beats by $0.35. Revenue of $65.9M (+20.0% Y/Y) beats by $6.58M. Shares +6% PMSeeking Alpha • May 04
Aemetis: Waiting For Signs Of Profitability
Another biofuel company with plenty of demand, but little production and accumulating losses. Significant production growth is expected beginning in 2022, but investors have little to work with to support the cause. As such, I will be staying on the sidelines but watching for potential improvements or catalysts.Shareholder Returns
| AMTX | US Oil and Gas | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.0% | -5.1% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | 129.4% | 29.2% | 30.6% |
Return vs Industry: AMTX exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 35.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AMTX exceeded the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AMTX volatility | |
|---|---|
| AMTX Average Weekly Movement | 16.6% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 6.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: AMTX's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: AMTX's weekly volatility (17%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| n/a | 220 | Eric McAfee | www.aemetis.com |
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. The company operates through California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel segments. It engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products.
Aemetis, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| AMTX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$220.79m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$77.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$207.98m |
1.0x
P/S Ratio-2.8x
P/E RatioIs AMTX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AMTX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$207.98m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$208.75m |
| Gross Profit | -US$768.00k |
| Other Expenses | US$76.23m |
| Earnings | -US$77.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -1.13 |
| Gross Margin | -0.37% |
| Net Profit Margin | -37.02% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -165.8% |
How did AMTX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 16:59 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Aemetis, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Edward Woo | Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC |
| Carter Driscoll | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Todd Firestone | Evercore ISI |