ECN Capital Corp.

OTCPK:ECNC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$563.3m

ECN Capital Valuation

Is ECNC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ECNC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ECNC.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ECNC.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ECNC.F?

Key metric: As ECNC.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ECNC.F. This is calculated by dividing ECNC.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ECNC.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
SalesUS$129.61m
Market CapUS$563.31m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ECNC.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ECNC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.8x
CFNB California First Leasing
4.2xn/aUS$223.4m
ACTG Acacia Research
2.6x36.7%US$438.2m
SWKH SWK Holdings
7.8xn/aUS$193.2m
BLX Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior S. A
4.4x8.6%US$1.2b
ECNC.F ECN Capital
4.4x31.0%US$790.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ECNC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ECNC.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RKT Rocket Companies
0.5x23.3%US$28.05b
FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage
0.4x-2.9%US$10.57b
UWMC UWM Holdings
0.4x9.5%US$10.24b
LDI loanDepot
0.4x18.5%US$755.37m
ECNC.F 4.4xIndustry Avg. 2.8xNo. of Companies15PS0246810+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ECNC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (2.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ECNC.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ECNC.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ECNC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ECNC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.96
US$2.33
+19.0%
12.9%US$2.69US$1.79n/a5
Nov ’25US$1.59
US$1.82
+14.1%
11.4%US$2.21US$1.65n/a5
Oct ’25US$1.61
US$1.82
+13.2%
11.4%US$2.21US$1.65n/a5
Sep ’25US$1.61
US$1.82
+12.8%
11.4%US$2.21US$1.65n/a5
Aug ’25US$1.50
US$1.63
+8.6%
15.7%US$2.17US$1.45n/a6
Jul ’25US$1.23
US$1.59
+28.9%
15.9%US$2.18US$1.46n/a7
Jun ’25US$1.30
US$1.59
+22.0%
15.9%US$2.18US$1.46n/a7
May ’25US$1.31
US$1.72
+31.6%
23.2%US$2.58US$1.40n/a7
Apr ’25US$1.51
US$1.72
+14.2%
23.2%US$2.58US$1.40n/a7
Mar ’25US$2.04
US$2.16
+6.0%
10.6%US$2.60US$1.86n/a7
Feb ’25US$2.02
US$2.16
+7.0%
10.6%US$2.60US$1.86n/a7
Jan ’25US$2.29
US$2.00
-12.4%
11.8%US$2.56US$1.83n/a7
Dec ’24US$1.86
US$2.00
+7.5%
11.8%US$2.56US$1.83n/a7
Nov ’24US$1.40
US$2.12
+51.7%
19.2%US$2.90US$1.63US$1.597
Oct ’24US$1.71
US$2.38
+38.9%
15.2%US$2.96US$2.04US$1.616
Sep ’24US$1.93
US$2.40
+24.4%
14.0%US$2.96US$2.03US$1.616
Aug ’24US$1.93
US$2.56
+33.1%
17.0%US$3.42US$2.09US$1.506
Jul ’24US$2.03
US$2.63
+29.8%
16.5%US$3.35US$2.05US$1.236
Jun ’24US$2.19
US$2.63
+20.3%
16.5%US$3.35US$2.05US$1.306
May ’24US$2.31
US$3.08
+33.2%
16.5%US$4.06US$2.59US$1.316
Apr ’24US$2.08
US$2.94
+41.5%
21.0%US$4.00US$2.00US$1.516
Mar ’24US$2.16
US$3.52
+63.2%
11.1%US$4.11US$2.99US$2.047
Feb ’24US$2.25
US$3.52
+56.6%
11.1%US$4.11US$2.99US$2.027
Jan ’24US$2.08
US$3.80
+82.8%
10.4%US$4.50US$3.00US$2.298
Dec ’23US$2.30
US$3.80
+65.2%
10.4%US$4.50US$3.00US$1.868
Nov ’23US$3.01
US$5.47
+81.8%
7.3%US$6.23US$4.77US$1.407

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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