Burford Capital Limited

NYSE:BUR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

Burford Capital Valuation

Is BUR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BUR ($13.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUR?

Key metric: As BUR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BUR. This is calculated by dividing BUR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BUR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.6x
EarningsUS$259.55m
Market CapUS$3.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BUR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BUR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
HASI HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital
15.7x10.2%US$3.5b
BLX Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior S. A
6.2x5.5%US$1.2b
ACTG Acacia Research
9.2x-113.0%US$444.0m
CFNB California First Leasing
6.1xn/aUS$223.4m
BUR Burford Capital
11.6x24.6%US$2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BUR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FOA Finance of America Companies
1.3x-143.9%US$510.32m
PMIR PMI Group
1.2xn/aUS$6.80m
ACGX Alliance Creative Group
2.2xn/aUS$467.92k
No more companies available in this PE range
BUR 11.6xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BUR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BUR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.80
US$21.96
+59.1%
5.4%US$23.15US$20.77n/a2
Nov ’25US$13.50
US$21.84
+61.8%
6.4%US$23.24US$20.43n/a2
Oct ’25US$12.84
US$21.84
+70.1%
6.4%US$23.24US$20.43n/a2
Sep ’25US$13.51
US$21.84
+61.6%
6.4%US$23.24US$20.43n/a2
Aug ’25US$13.58
US$21.74
+60.1%
6.8%US$23.21US$20.27n/a2
Jul ’25US$12.55
US$21.74
+73.2%
6.8%US$23.21US$20.27n/a2
Jun ’25US$14.44
US$20.79
+43.9%
8.7%US$23.21US$18.87n/a3
May ’25US$15.46
US$20.74
+34.1%
9.1%US$23.21US$18.62n/a3
Apr ’25US$15.94
US$20.90
+31.1%
8.2%US$23.21US$19.10n/a3
Mar ’25US$15.08
US$20.43
+35.5%
9.8%US$23.12US$18.31n/a3
Feb ’25US$15.15
US$20.43
+34.9%
9.8%US$23.12US$18.31n/a3
Jan ’25US$15.60
US$20.40
+30.8%
9.6%US$23.03US$18.31n/a3
Dec ’24US$13.88
US$20.40
+47.0%
9.6%US$23.03US$18.31n/a3
Nov ’24US$12.52
US$20.19
+61.3%
7.1%US$22.10US$18.62US$13.503
Oct ’24US$14.00
US$21.26
+51.8%
10.0%US$24.01US$18.62US$12.844
Sep ’24US$13.83
US$19.52
+41.1%
16.8%US$23.15US$15.43US$13.514
Aug ’24US$13.89
US$18.41
+32.6%
15.6%US$23.15US$15.43US$13.584
Jul ’24US$12.18
US$18.26
+49.9%
16.2%US$23.15US$15.17US$12.554
Jun ’24US$13.52
US$19.04
+40.8%
13.0%US$22.54US$17.22US$14.443
May ’24US$13.30
US$16.73
+25.8%
4.0%US$17.22US$15.79US$15.463
Apr ’24US$11.06
US$15.10
+36.5%
13.5%US$16.95US$12.27US$15.943
Mar ’24US$8.14
US$12.38
+52.1%
25.8%US$15.80US$7.67US$15.084
Feb ’24US$9.10
US$12.38
+36.1%
25.8%US$15.80US$7.67US$15.154
Jan ’24US$8.15
US$12.38
+51.9%
25.8%US$15.80US$7.67US$15.604
Dec ’23US$9.19
US$12.38
+34.7%
25.8%US$15.80US$7.67US$13.884
Nov ’23US$8.03
US$12.38
+54.2%
25.8%US$15.80US$7.67US$12.524

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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