Credit Saison Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CSAS.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CSAS.Y ($15.61) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($18.85)

Is CSAS.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSAS.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSAS.Y ($15.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSAS.Y is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSAS.Y?

Key metric: As CSAS.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSAS.Y. This is calculated by dividing CSAS.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CSAS.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.5x
Earnings	JP¥43.60b
Market Cap	JP¥326.02b

CSAS.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	7.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	39.7x
PEG Ratio	1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSAS.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSAS.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.4x
BFH Bread Financial Holdings	9.3x	11.3%	US$2.9b
PRG PROG Holdings	12.8x	-0.2%	US$2.0b
ENVA Enova International	15.3x	23.9%	US$2.8b
LC LendingClub	36.1x	52.7%	US$1.9b
CSAS.Y Credit Saison	7.5x	7.2%	US$326.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSAS.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (5.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSAS.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
YRD Yiren Digital	1.8x	n/a	US$455.54m
XYF X Financial	1.9x	n/a	US$358.92m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSAS.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (8.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSAS.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSAS.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CSAS.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

International Money Express

US$656.2m

Operates as an omnichannel money remittance services company in the United States, Latin America, Mexico, Central and South America, the Caribbean, Africa, and Asia.

IMXI

US$21.10

-1.0%

0.5%

Federal Home Loan Mortgage

US$10.1b

Operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States.

FMCC

US$3.13

1.0%

374.2%

FinVolution Group

US$1.7b

Operates in the online consumer finance industry.

FINV

US$6.63

7.3%

48.7%