Noah Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Noah Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.6% and 9.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.

Key information

20.6%

Earnings growth rate

20.9%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	14.3%
Revenue growth rate	9.4%
Future return on equity	8.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	11 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Sep 01

Recent updates

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Sep 01

Noah Holdings: Q2 Results Miss And New Buyback Plan Draw Attention

Aug 30

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Stock's 25% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Jun 05

Noah Holdings: Strategic Pivot Is Still A Work-In-Progress (Rating Downgrade)

May 30

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Apr 14

Noah Holdings: Post-Results Negative Share Price Reaction Doesn't Seem Justified

Aug 20

What Percentage Of Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Shares Do Insiders Own?

Feb 15

Noah Holdings: Client Acceptance Of Settlement Plan Priced In

Jan 08

Does Noah Holdings (NYSE:NOAH) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Dec 03

Noah announces $100M share repurchase program

Nov 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NOAH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	3,411	1,065	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	3,250	1,024	N/A	N/A	7
12/31/2024	2,670	617	N/A	N/A	5
6/30/2024	2,815	681	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2024	3,141	897	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2023	3,295	1,009	1,160	1,318	N/A
9/30/2023	3,377	933	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2023	3,312	882	983	1,143	N/A
3/31/2023	3,108	916	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	3,100	977	570	633	N/A
9/30/2022	3,478	1,118	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2022	3,703	1,209	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2022	3,864	1,165	-737	1,527	N/A
12/31/2021	4,293	1,314	-749	1,522	N/A
9/30/2021	3,986	-541	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2021	3,936	-528	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2021	3,784	-534	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2020	3,306	-745	745	796	N/A
9/30/2020	3,141	931	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2020	3,124	837	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2020	3,248	788	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2019	3,392	829	1,223	1,288	N/A
9/30/2019	3,426	882	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	3,423	898	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2019	3,349	827	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	3,290	811	901	1,029	N/A
9/30/2018	3,190	815	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	3,035	787	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2018	2,945	814	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	2,827	763	N/A	628	N/A
9/30/2017	2,751	711	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	2,675	687	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2017	2,620	662	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	2,514	644	N/A	686	N/A
9/30/2016	2,441	620	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	2,353	616	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2016	2,279	603	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	2,120	536	N/A	675	N/A
9/30/2015	1,901	532	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	1,799	502	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	1,665	474	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	1,528	447	N/A	590	N/A
9/30/2014	1,412	436	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2014	1,297	417	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2014	1,128	365	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2013	1,006	316	N/A	574	N/A
9/30/2013	878	272	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOAH's forecast earnings growth (20.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: NOAH's earnings (20.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NOAH's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NOAH's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NOAH's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NOAH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).

Noah Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Noah Holdings Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Noah Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2022

Price target decreased to US$47.84

Noah Holdings Limited Provides Financial Guidance for the Full Year of 2021

Recent updates

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Noah Holdings: Q2 Results Miss And New Buyback Plan Draw Attention

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) announces an Equity Buyback for $50 million worth of its shares.

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

Noah Holdings Limited Announces Changes to its Board of Directors

Dividend of US$2.10 announced

Noah Holdings Limited Approves Special Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on or Around July 25, 2024

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Stock's 25% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 29%

New minor risk - Share price stability

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.01 (vs CN¥3.52 in 1Q 2023)

Noah Holdings: Strategic Pivot Is Still A Work-In-Progress (Rating Downgrade)

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 29, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Noah Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Less than half of directors are independent

Noah Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Mar 26, 2024

Noah Holdings: Building Wealth Through A Growing Client Base

Noah Holdings Limited Announces CEO Changes

Noah Holdings: Watch New Capital Return Framework And Insurance Products

Noah Holdings Limited Announces Amendments to the Dividend Policy

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 30, 2023

Noah Holdings: Consider Overseas Expansion And Financial Strength

Noah Holdings Limited Announces Changes to the Board and Board Committees

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Staying Bullish On Noah Holdings

Noah Holdings Limited Updates Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on 14 July 2023

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 30, 2023

Noah Holdings: Room For Further Valuation Re-Rating

Noah Holdings announces primary listing status on Hong Kong Stock Exchange

Noah Holdings Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Noah Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Dec 16, 2022

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 21, 2022

Noah Holdings Limited Provides Updates on the Status of the Legal Proceedings Related to Certain Credit Funds Managed by Shanghai Gopher Asset Management Co., Ltd

Noah Holdings: Spotlight On Dividend Policy And Delisting Risk

Noah Holdings Limited Approves New Dividend Policy in August 2022, to Share Part of Non-GAAP Net Income Attributable to Shareholders Every Year with the Shareholders

Noah Holdings Non-GAAP EPS of RMB4.53, revenue of RMB738.1M

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 23, 2022

Noah gets board approval to pursue primary listing on Hong Kong Stock Exchange

Noah Holdings Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 321.2 million.

Noah Holdings Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 321.2 million.

Noah prices global offering

Noah to raise capital in 1.1M global stock offering

Noah Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2022

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 11, 2022

Noah Holdings Announces Share May Be Delisted Under HFCAA Act

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to US$47.84

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Mar 14, 2022

Noah Holdings Stock: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain

Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥4.56 (vs CN¥4.86 in 2Q 2020)

Noah Holdings: Post-Results Negative Share Price Reaction Doesn't Seem Justified

Noah Holdings Limited Provides Financial Guidance for the Full Year of 2021

Full year 2020 earnings released: CN¥12.01 loss per share (vs CN¥13.56 profit in FY 2019)

Full year 2020 earnings released

Price target increased to US$54.18

Noah Holdings Limited to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Mar 15, 2021

Price target raised to US$49.88

What Percentage Of Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Shares Do Insiders Own?

New 90-day high: US$49.58

Price target raised to US$43.59

Noah Holdings: Client Acceptance Of Settlement Plan Priced In