Stock Analysis

How Investors Are Reacting To MGIC Investment (MTG) Dividend Hike and Shareholder Reward Strategy

NYSE:MTG
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  • MGIC Investment Corporation's Board of Directors recently declared a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.15 per share, representing a 15% increase over the previous dividend of US$0.13 and payable on August 21, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 7, 2025.
  • This dividend increase underscores the company’s commitment to capital returns and signals confidence in its ongoing financial stability and shareholder value strategy.
  • We will examine how MGIC’s dividend increase strengthens its investment narrative and highlights a sustained focus on rewarding shareholders.

We've found 17 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

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MGIC Investment Investment Narrative Recap

To invest in MGIC Investment, you need confidence in the company’s ability to generate consistent capital returns while navigating housing market headwinds and fluctuating credit risk. The recent 15% quarterly dividend increase reflects ongoing shareholder reward, but does not materially change the most important short-term catalyst, which remains the company's ability to profit from stable insurance in force amid potential growth constraints, nor does it lessen the primary risk from higher delinquency rates as older insurance portfolios age.

One recent announcement worth highlighting is the ongoing share repurchase program, which as of April 25, 2025, has reduced the outstanding share count by 4.84% at a cost of US$290.11 million. This complements the higher dividend to reinforce the short-term catalyst of sustained capital returns, especially as buybacks might support per-share earnings even if growth in underlying insurance volumes lags.

However, even as MGIC's capital return activities persist, investors should be aware of the implication that, if new delinquency notices rise sharply as expected, ...

Read the full narrative on MGIC Investment (it's free!)

MGIC Investment's outlook anticipates $1.3 billion in revenue and $621.0 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario is based on a 2.4% annual revenue growth rate, but it also implies an earnings decrease of $153.4 million from the current $774.4 million.

Uncover how MGIC Investment's forecasts yield a $27.00 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MTG Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025
MTG Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025

The Simply Wall St Community's fair value estimates for MGIC Investment span from US$27 to US$58.37, across three independent views. While many see compelling value, some caution that slower growth in revenue and earnings could weigh on future performance, showing the importance of considering different perspectives before making investment decisions.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on MGIC Investment - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own MGIC Investment Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:MTG

MGIC Investment

Through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

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