Stock Analysis

Jackson Financial (JXN): Assessing Valuation as Profitability and New Shareholder Returns Announced

Jackson Financial (NYSE:JXN) just posted third quarter results that caught investors' attention, moving from a sizable loss last year to a solid net profit. Alongside the earnings, the company announced new dividends and an update to its share buyback efforts.

See our latest analysis for Jackson Financial.

After a rocky start to the year, Jackson Financial’s momentum is showing signs of a comeback. The latest announcements appear to have reinvigorated investor sentiment, with the stock posting a 7.6% year-to-date share price return. While the one-year total shareholder return remains slightly negative, the company’s 197% total return over three years highlights how strong the long-term picture has been for patient investors.

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With shares still trading at a notable discount to analyst targets, investors may wonder if recent momentum leaves room for further upside or if the market is already accounting for Jackson Financial’s solid growth prospects.

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Most Popular Narrative: 13.5% Undervalued

With Jackson Financial closing at $94.47 and the most widely followed narrative estimating fair value at $109.20, investors will notice a significant gap pointing to opportunity. This discrepancy is at the heart of a narrative built around multiple long-term business catalysts.

The strategic shift toward greater product diversification, especially fee-based and spread products like RILA and fixed annuities, is expanding Jackson's margins, reducing earnings volatility, and positioning the company to benefit from long-term trends in defined contribution retirement plans. This has a positive impact on net margins and overall profitability. Investments in digital tools and enhanced advisor support platforms enable Jackson to reach new distribution partners and improve customer retention. This is evidenced by a significant share of RILA sales to new or lapsed advisers and recent service innovations. These initiatives are likely to accelerate revenue growth and operating efficiency.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what gives this valuation its edge? This narrative is powered not by hype, but by projections of double-digit growth and a profit profile rarely seen in the sector. The linchpin is a key set of assumptions about future business momentum and margin expansion, only revealed in the full narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $109.20 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, risks remain, including persistent net outflows in Jackson’s variable annuity business as well as heightened competition that could pressure long-term revenue and margin growth.

Find out about the key risks to this Jackson Financial narrative.

Build Your Own Jackson Financial Narrative

Don't just take our word for it. If you have a different perspective or want to dive into the numbers yourself, you can easily build your own Jackson Financial view in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Jackson Financial.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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