Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

NYSE:JEF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.7b

Jefferies Financial Group Valuation

Is JEF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JEF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JEF ($76.22) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($30.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JEF is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JEF?

Key metric: As JEF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JEF. This is calculated by dividing JEF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JEF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.6x
EarningsUS$528.76m
Market CapUS$15.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JEF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JEF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.7x
EVR Evercore
32.8x35.4%US$11.1b
HLI Houlihan Lokey
36.2x15.6%US$12.1b
SF Stifel Financial
17.5x13.1%US$10.7b
FUTU Futu Holdings
20.3x22.7%US$11.6b
JEF Jefferies Financial Group
29.6x35.4%US$15.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JEF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the peer average (26.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JEF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.26b
CET Central Securities
4.4xn/aUS$1.29b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.2xn/aUS$1.20b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
JEF 29.6xIndustry Avg. 23.6xNo. of Companies73PE020406080100+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JEF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JEF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JEF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.6x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JEF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JEF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$76.22
US$88.75
+16.4%
6.2%US$97.00US$82.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$79.14
US$74.25
-6.2%
9.8%US$82.00US$67.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$64.22
US$69.50
+8.2%
3.7%US$73.00US$67.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$61.85
US$68.75
+11.2%
2.6%US$71.00US$67.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$59.95
US$61.33
+2.3%
3.4%US$64.00US$59.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$56.44
US$59.00
+4.5%
1.4%US$60.00US$58.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$49.97
US$52.00
+4.1%
11.3%US$58.00US$44.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$46.52
US$50.33
+8.2%
9.8%US$56.00US$44.00n/a3
May ’25US$43.22
US$50.33
+16.5%
9.8%US$56.00US$44.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$43.55
US$49.00
+12.5%
7.3%US$52.00US$44.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$41.81
US$47.67
+14.0%
8.1%US$53.00US$44.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$40.60
US$48.33
+19.0%
7.6%US$53.00US$44.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$40.41
US$44.33
+9.7%
15.7%US$53.00US$36.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$36.36
US$41.67
+14.6%
9.7%US$45.00US$36.00US$79.143
Nov ’24US$32.58
US$40.67
+24.8%
9.1%US$45.00US$36.00US$64.223
Oct ’24US$36.63
US$40.67
+11.0%
8.1%US$43.00US$36.00US$61.853
Sep ’24US$36.34
US$38.33
+5.5%
4.4%US$40.00US$36.00US$59.953
Aug ’24US$36.16
US$36.33
+0.5%
5.7%US$39.00US$34.00US$56.443
Jul ’24US$33.17
US$33.25
+0.2%
12.8%US$39.00US$27.00US$49.974
Jun ’24US$30.10
US$33.88
+12.5%
13.9%US$40.00US$27.00US$46.524
May ’24US$31.78
US$33.88
+6.6%
13.9%US$40.00US$27.00US$43.224
Apr ’24US$31.74
US$34.63
+9.1%
14.6%US$42.00US$28.00US$43.554
Mar ’24US$37.44
US$39.50
+5.5%
18.4%US$48.00US$28.00US$41.814
Feb ’24US$39.44
US$39.00
-1.1%
18.3%US$48.00US$28.00US$40.604
Jan ’24US$34.28
US$38.50
+12.3%
22.4%US$52.00US$28.00US$40.414
Dec ’23US$38.02
US$37.25
-2.0%
17.1%US$46.00US$28.00US$36.364

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:38
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/08/31
Annual Earnings2023/11/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Caydee BlankenshipCFRA Equity Research
James YaroGoldman Sachs
Manan GosaliaMorgan Stanley