Houlihan Lokey Valuation

Is HLI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLI ($170.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($119.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HLI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
EVR Evercore
31.5x30.7%US$11.8b
SF Stifel Financial
16.9x9.8%US$10.6b
JEF Jefferies Financial Group
24.8x32.0%US$13.2b
FUTU Futu Holdings
24.6x19.8%US$13.1b
HLI Houlihan Lokey
35.4x12.6%US$11.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$170.42
US$167.29
-1.8%
14.7%US$206.00US$129.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$159.59
US$151.43
-5.1%
12.6%US$175.00US$120.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$156.62
US$147.67
-5.7%
12.2%US$170.00US$120.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$147.51
US$148.00
+0.3%
12.4%US$170.00US$120.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$135.35
US$134.17
-0.9%
8.7%US$151.00US$114.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$135.35
US$134.17
-0.9%
8.7%US$151.00US$114.00n/a6
May ’25US$127.34
US$131.33
+3.1%
12.0%US$151.00US$102.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$128.16
US$129.33
+0.9%
11.4%US$146.00US$102.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$127.24
US$129.33
+1.6%
11.4%US$146.00US$102.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$121.86
US$124.00
+1.8%
10.5%US$136.00US$102.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$119.91
US$110.80
-7.6%
14.8%US$133.00US$88.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$109.93
US$108.80
-1.0%
12.9%US$124.00US$88.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$101.98
US$107.60
+5.5%
12.1%US$124.00US$88.00US$171.315
Oct ’24US$107.12
US$106.40
-0.7%
12.7%US$119.00US$84.00US$159.595
Sep ’24US$106.51
US$106.40
-0.1%
12.7%US$119.00US$84.00US$156.625
Aug ’24US$100.45
US$105.60
+5.1%
12.1%US$118.00US$84.00US$147.515
Jul ’24US$98.31
US$92.83
-5.6%
11.1%US$107.00US$81.00US$135.356
Jun ’24US$87.61
US$92.83
+6.0%
11.1%US$107.00US$81.00US$135.356
May ’24US$91.00
US$92.33
+1.5%
11.2%US$105.00US$78.00US$127.346
Apr ’24US$87.49
US$95.50
+9.2%
13.9%US$115.00US$78.00US$128.166
Mar ’24US$95.20
US$96.50
+1.4%
13.7%US$115.00US$78.00US$127.246
Feb ’24US$97.49
US$93.83
-3.8%
10.9%US$107.00US$78.00US$121.866
Jan ’24US$87.16
US$91.17
+4.6%
11.5%US$102.00US$77.00US$119.916
Dec ’23US$99.09
US$91.17
-8.0%
11.5%US$102.00US$77.00US$109.936
Nov ’23US$91.02
US$89.33
-1.9%
10.2%US$102.00US$77.00US$101.986

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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