Granite Point Mortgage Trust Valuation
Is GPMT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GPMT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GPMT's fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GPMT's fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPMT?
Key metric: As GPMT is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is GPMT's PB Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PB Ratio | 0.3x |
| Book | US$667.71m |
| Market Cap | US$173.35m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does GPMT's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.7x | ||
AJX Great Ajax | 0.6x | 106.3% | US$137.2m |
CHMI Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment | 0.7x | 90.3% | US$87.0m |
ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate | 0.7x | 124.3% | US$393.3m |
NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance | 0.9x | 26.3% | US$388.3m |
GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust | 0.3x | 101.8% | US$173.4m |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: GPMT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Industry
How does GPMT's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Book | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
ACMC American Church Mortgage | 0.01x | n/a | US$67.06k |
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Book vs Industry: GPMT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (0.8x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GPMT's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | 0.3x |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPMT's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$3.58 | US$3.67 +2.4% | 12.9% | US$4.00 | US$3.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | US$2.95 | US$3.25 +10.2% | 10.9% | US$3.50 | US$2.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | US$2.98 | US$3.25 +9.1% | 10.9% | US$3.50 | US$2.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | US$2.63 | US$3.25 +23.6% | 10.9% | US$3.50 | US$2.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | US$2.96 | US$3.58 +21.1% | 8.7% | US$4.00 | US$3.25 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | US$2.88 | US$3.78 +31.4% | 5.5% | US$4.00 | US$3.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | US$3.15 | US$4.62 +46.6% | 21.2% | US$6.00 | US$3.85 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | US$4.32 | US$5.50 +27.3% | 7.4% | US$6.00 | US$5.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | US$4.61 | US$5.83 +26.5% | 10.7% | US$6.50 | US$5.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | US$4.78 | US$6.00 +25.5% | 11.8% | US$6.50 | US$5.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | US$5.57 | US$6.81 +22.3% | 12.0% | US$8.00 | US$5.75 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | US$5.94 | US$6.69 +12.6% | 14.8% | US$8.00 | US$5.25 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | US$5.62 | US$6.75 +20.1% | 16.8% | US$8.00 | US$5.25 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | US$4.21 | US$7.08 +68.3% | 21.6% | US$9.00 | US$5.25 | US$2.95 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | US$4.88 | US$7.17 +46.9% | 20.0% | US$9.00 | US$5.50 | US$2.98 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | US$5.38 | US$7.13 +32.4% | 17.5% | US$9.00 | US$5.50 | US$2.63 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | US$5.60 | US$7.13 +27.2% | 17.5% | US$9.00 | US$5.50 | US$2.96 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | US$5.30 | US$7.00 +32.1% | 20.2% | US$9.00 | US$5.00 | US$2.88 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | US$4.81 | US$7.00 +45.5% | 20.2% | US$9.00 | US$5.00 | US$3.15 | 4 |
| May ’24 | US$4.34 | US$8.25 +90.1% | 23.3% | US$10.00 | US$5.00 | US$4.32 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | US$4.96 | US$8.50 +71.4% | 17.6% | US$10.00 | US$6.00 | US$4.61 | 4 |
| Mar ’24 | US$5.79 | US$8.50 +46.8% | 17.6% | US$10.00 | US$6.00 | US$4.78 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | US$6.73 | US$8.50 +26.3% | 17.6% | US$10.00 | US$6.00 | US$5.57 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | US$5.36 | US$8.75 +63.2% | 18.7% | US$10.00 | US$6.00 | US$5.94 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | US$6.55 | US$9.63 +46.9% | 17.0% | US$12.00 | US$7.50 | US$5.62 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | US$7.93 | US$10.75 +35.6% | 7.7% | US$12.00 | US$10.00 | US$4.21 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Guild Holdings
US$845.4m
Guild Holdings Company originates, sells, and services residential mortgage loans in the United States.
GHLD
US$13.59
7D
-2.7%
1Y
7.9%
Federal Home Loan Mortgage
US$10.6b
Operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States.
FMCC
US$3.13
7D
7.2%
1Y
373.4%
FinVolution Group
US$1.6b
Operates in the online consumer finance industry.
FINV
US$6.63
7D
5.2%
1Y
49.0%