Greenhill & Co., Inc.

NYSE:GHL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$282.0m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Greenhill Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Greenhill is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 53.5% and 11.9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 56.5% per annum.

Key information

53.5%

Earnings growth rate

56.51%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth12.4%
Revenue growth rate11.9%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated10 Nov 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • May 07

Greenhill (NYSE:GHL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.10

The board of Greenhill & Co., Inc. ( NYSE:GHL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 21st of June, with...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 16

Greenhill Saw That Q4 Pop, But Optimism Maybe Premature

Summary Management really leaned into the notion that 2023 would be a strong rebound year. We think that things will be less vigorous than hoped. Management was accurate with their assertions in Q3 that Q4 would be a stronger quarter with deals shifting right, and that continues and operating leverage continues to be evident. Industrial and telco are still good M&A markets, and strength in industrial M&A should be considered a leading indicator for the economy. Greenhill works with corporates, but resolutions in the private debt markets may mean sponsors are a more attractive area this year where corporates could be disappointed with rates. Comparing them to PWP, Greenhill seems the better deal, but we're not overweight the advisor bucket anymore. Greenhill (GHL) is a pretty well respected advisory house and a plucky stock which has managed to stay relatively resilient among its peers. It was resilient even with the 'red-shift' in deal cycles that sees elongated decision making and slower booking, which put major wins into Q4 as described by management in Q3. We've seen it happen now, and the company has impressed with about 33% sequential net income growth. Things look good for Greenhill, but we don't like how much management is leaning into the positives of 2023, because we still think there are risks and it may not be the rebound year they hope for. Overall, with the run-up since our last article, we are no longer overweight this sector. Q4 Notes Firstly, we are finally seeing signs of the 'months' of dialogue related to restructuring finally coming to pass. Not super distressed opportunities, but stuff that should finally be a tailwind to peers like PJT Partners (PJT). I would say, toward the end of the year, we started seeing a significant pickup in opportunities. I would say that most of the activity is in what I would call like classic restructuring like companies that are in some degree of distress, not necessarily Chapter 11 style but some degree of distress. Scott Bok, CEO of GHL Moreover, management reports on continued struggles in credit markets making some restructuring activity difficult. It also explains continued pressure on sponsor business, which remains very depressed. Still, there should be some rebound here, even if it's only partial, because the LevFin problems were being caused by a shutdown in the secondary market at the worst of the rate-related volatility. Yes. Look, I think financing markets, I do expect, frankly, that they will continue to improve. But I mean they've got a long way to go to get back to being kind of available for everybody. So I think credit markets will be discerning, what I would call discerning for a good while. Scott Bok, CEO of GHL The company mentioned that its current business is pretty corporate focused. Its idiosyncratic and corporate focused business is much of the reason why Greenhill managed to avoid extreme downturns in their deal activity. For 2023 they are already guiding vaguely to some kind of rebound year. While we saw deal activity shift from Q3 to Q4 leading to a sequential 33% jump in net income, and this red-shift should support upcoming quarters too, we think optimism is still premature given macroeconomic factors. Look, I'd also say that, whereas a year ago, I think everybody was incredibly optimistic, right? That was before the Ukraine invasion and higher inflation and interest rates and all the rest. If you look at where we are now, we're kind of at probably very recently a sort of peak pessimism in some senses in the market. But clearly, rates are now starting to come down on the long end, inflation starting to come down. Scott Bok Bok goes on to say that they expect continued caution, but that things look clearer. We think that while there is some peaking going on, we still have some dangers. Consider some comments from FOMC members. The longer high inflation persists, the more likely it is that households and businesses may come to expect higher inflation in the longer term. Governor Bowman, FOMC member
Analysis Article • Feb 05

Greenhill (NYSE:GHL) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

Greenhill & Co., Inc. ( NYSE:GHL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 22nd of March...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 01

Greenhill Q4 GAAP EPS, revenue down, share buybacks authorized

Greenhill press release (NYSE:GHL): Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.95 (vs. $1.21 Y/Y). Revenue of $95.8M (-17.9% Y/Y). Board authorized repurchases of common shares and share equivalents of up to $30.0 million
Seeking Alpha • Sep 12

Greenhill goes ex-dividend tomorrow

Greenhill (NYSE:GHL) had declared $0.10/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Payable Sept. 28; for shareholders of record Sept. 14; ex-div Sept. 13. See GHL Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

Greenhill GAAP EPS of -$1.03 misses by $0.58, revenue of $36M misses by $3.77M

Greenhill press release (NYSE:GHL): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$1.03 misses by $0.58. Revenue of $36M (-16.7% Y/Y) misses by $3.77M.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 08

Piper Sandler cuts PT on Greenhill, reaffirms Neutral rating

Piper Sandler on Friday lowered its price target on Greenhill (NYSE:GHL) to $10 from $14.50, implying a potential upside of 11.4% to its last close. The brokerage maintained its Neutral rating on GHL, in-line with sell-side rating of Hold. However, SA Quant system rates the stock Sell, saying GHL is at high risk of performing badly due to decelerating momentum and negative EPS revisions vs. other financial stocks GHL stock, which fell ~4% on Friday, has declined ~54% YTD.
Analysis Article • Feb 08

Greenhill (NYSE:GHL) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.10

Greenhill & Co., Inc. ( NYSE:GHL ) will increase its dividend on the 16th of March to US$0.10. This takes the annual...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GHL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025257-8N/AN/A1
12/31/2024297-22N/AN/A2
12/31/2023206-59N/AN/A1
9/30/2023223-272632N/A
6/30/2023277151321N/A
3/31/2023244-81523N/A
12/31/202224332128N/A
9/30/2022266123843N/A
6/30/2022275186971N/A
3/31/202228228108110N/A
12/31/202130542126131N/A
9/30/202132977101117N/A
6/30/2021296477695N/A
3/31/2021300414665N/A
12/31/2020296316784N/A
9/30/2020260-84248N/A
6/30/2020289176972N/A
3/31/2020291196567N/A
12/31/2019274111314N/A
9/30/2019255-25658N/A
6/30/2019255-66162N/A
3/31/2019293179294N/A
12/31/201833039114116N/A
9/30/201830826365N/A
6/30/2018275-151518N/A
3/31/2018258-202124N/A
12/31/2017232-271315N/A
9/30/2017271236870N/A
6/30/201729942N/A91N/A
3/31/201732256N/A94N/A
12/31/201633261N/A124N/A
9/30/201630645N/A101N/A
6/30/201628133N/A86N/A
3/31/201626422N/A77N/A
12/31/201525926N/A93N/A
9/30/201526133N/A92N/A
6/30/201530252N/A125N/A
3/31/201529251N/A98N/A
12/31/201427443N/A103N/A
9/30/201427444N/A86N/A
6/30/201422626N/A53N/A
3/31/201425033N/A74N/A
12/31/201328647N/A68N/A
9/30/201330246N/A103N/A
6/30/201332053N/A118N/A
3/31/201328140N/A105N/A
12/31/201228442N/A95N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GHL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: GHL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: GHL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GHL's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GHL's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GHL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/12/02 06:06
End of Day Share Price 2023/11/30 00:00
Earnings2023/09/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Greenhill & Co., Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Charles HintzBernstein
Michael Anthony NeedhamBofA Global Research
Devin RyanCitizens JMP Securities, LLC