Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.

NYSE:BXMT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.3b

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Blackstone Mortgage Trust is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 121.6% and 52.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 120.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.6% in 3 years.

Key information

121.6%

Earnings growth rate

120.7%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth33.0%
Revenue growth rate52.7%
Future return on equity6.6%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated23 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Blackstone Mortgage: Dividend Yield High But Not Well Positioned For High Interest Rates

Jan 16

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Pocketed CRE Troubles Are Still Brewing

Dec 27

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: 10% Yield For Risk-Seeking Investors

Oct 26

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Could Be In For More Trouble

Sep 12

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Dividend Cut Is Not Enough; More Impairments Loom From Offices And Santander JV

Aug 28

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Why I Am Buying The Dividend Cut (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 05

Blackstone Mortgage: It's Not Distributable EPS, It's Deleveraging

Jul 24

Blackstone Mortgage: 8% On Bonds Beats 14% On The Stock

Jun 16

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: A Dividend Cut Is Likely

May 28

Blackstone Mortgage: Charge-Offs And Declining Rates Pose Risk

May 15

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Ample Dividend Coverage Helps Protect From Ongoing Issues

Apr 11

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Beware Of Charge-Offs And More Loan Modifications Ahead

Mar 06

Blackstone Mortgage: 13% Yield, 123% Dividend Coverage Make It A Buy

Feb 27

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: 3 Reasons Why I Am Downgrading This 12% Yielder

Feb 21

Diving Into Blackstone Mortgage's Portfolio Reveals 2024 Is Darker Than It Appears In The Muddy Waters' Report

Jan 17

Blackstone Mortgage: 11% Yield Inside Muddy Waters

Dec 22

Blackstone Mortgage: 11.2% Dividend Yield As Bears Blindsided By Fed

Dec 15

Blackstone Mortgage: Something Wicked This Way Comes

Nov 21

Blackstone Mortgage: Hold And Wait For Some Change (Rating Downgrade)

Nov 14

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: A Higher-For-Longer Rate Bet With A 12.6% Yield

Oct 28

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Double-Digit Dividend Yield And Major Discount To Book Value

Oct 19

12% Yield! Blackstone Mortgage Trust Is Cheap For A Reason

Oct 02

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Has Become Fairly Valued

Sep 16

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Valuation Is Getting Risky (Downgrade)

Aug 31

Blackstone Mortgage: Multiply Your Income With This 11% Yield

Aug 14

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Don't Miss The Drop On This 11% Yielding CRE Trust

Jul 28

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Concerns Overdone; Dividend Yield Intact

Jul 17

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Stress Testing Blackstone's Dividend

Jul 11

Blackstone Mortgage: Do Not Worry About Increased Expected Credit Losses

Jun 16

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: The Market Is Too Focused On The Negatives

Feb 15

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 07

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Attractive 11%-Yielder

Jan 25

Blackstone Mortgage: Buy Yourself This 11%-Yielding Christmas Gift

Dec 27

Blackstone Mortgage Trust declares $0.62 dividend

Dec 15

Blackstone Mortgage Trust: This 9.7% Yield Is Still On Sale

Nov 16

Blackstone Mortgage: I Am Getting A 10.9% Yield On My Last Buy

Oct 24

Blackstone Mortgage: Strong Dividend Yield And Economic Tailwind

Oct 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BXMT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026525322N/AN/A3
12/31/2025471262N/AN/A6
12/31/2024494-207N/AN/A6
9/30/2024-103-244393393N/A
6/30/2024-11-158418418N/A
3/31/20241645444444N/A
12/31/2023421247459459N/A
9/30/2023385201478478N/A
6/30/2023460275449449N/A
3/31/2023445267416416N/A
12/31/2022417249397397N/A
9/30/2022579420394394N/A
6/30/2022549401401401N/A
3/31/2022580439390390N/A
12/31/2021554419382382N/A
9/30/2021505379330330N/A
6/30/2021512385326326N/A
3/31/2021397271351351N/A
12/31/2020265138337337N/A
9/30/2020259133337337N/A
6/30/2020240118323323N/A
3/31/2020296176295295N/A
12/31/2019424306304304N/A
9/30/2019417300296296N/A
6/30/2019420304312312N/A
3/31/2019417301295295N/A
12/31/2018396285290290N/A
9/30/2018375269274274N/A
6/30/2018348249N/A252N/A
3/31/2018317227N/A243N/A
12/31/2017303218N/A227N/A
9/30/2017295213N/A226N/A
6/30/2017299220N/A224N/A
3/31/2017308233N/A228N/A
12/31/2016314238N/A237N/A
9/30/2016324250N/A254N/A
6/30/2016328252N/A288N/A
3/31/2016297218N/A205N/A
12/31/2015258197N/A171N/A
9/30/2015213153N/A128N/A
6/30/2015156108N/A53N/A
3/31/2015133112N/A98N/A
12/31/201411690N/A81N/A
9/30/20149476N/A72N/A
6/30/20147862N/A58N/A
3/31/20145631N/A43N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BXMT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: BXMT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: BXMT is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BXMT's revenue (52.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BXMT's revenue (52.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BXMT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 22:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Derek HewettBofA Global Research
Eric DrayBofA Global Research
Jessica Levi-RibnerB. Riley Securities, Inc.