Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

NYSE:ACRE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$343.8m

Ares Commercial Real Estate Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Ares Commercial Real Estate is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 123.8% and 19.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 124.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.4% in 3 years.

Key information

123.8%

Earnings growth rate

124.2%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth48.5%
Revenue growth rate19.5%
Future return on equity2.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Ares Commercial Real Estate: High Yield Is A Red Flag (Downgrade)

Dec 09

Ares Commercial: The 14% Yield Is Likely Not Sustainable

Nov 21

Ares Commercial Real Estate: 14% Undercovered Yield, But There Is Hope

Sep 13

Ares Commercial: Another Big Loan Goes On Non-Accrual

Aug 08

Ares Commercial Real Estate: 14% Yield Might Be Sustainable

May 19

Ares Commercial: Another Distribution Cut Highly Probable In 1 Year

Apr 14

Ares Commercial Real Estate: The Safest Dividend Is The One That's Just Been Cut (Upgrade)

Mar 14

Ares Commercial: Dividend Cut, What Now?

Feb 26

Ares Commercial: Dividend Cut Highly Probable In 2024

Feb 14

Ares Commercial Real Estate: Still Threatened By Declining Asset Values (Rating Downgrade)

Feb 07

Ares Commercial Real Estate: Dividend Cut Potentially Incoming In 2024 (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 03

Ares Commercial: You've Been Warned About This 13.4% Yield

Dec 03

14%-Yielding Ares Commercial Real Estate: We're Beyond The Sweet Spot

Nov 14

A Defensive Dividend That Pays A Massive 13% Yield: Ares Commercial RE

Oct 02

Ares Commercial Real Estate: Enticing 12.6% Yield, But No Longer A Buy (Downgrade)

Sep 25

14%-Yielding Ares Commercial Real Estate: The Market Is Way Too Pessimistic

Aug 23

Ares Commercial: High Dividends Don't Lie And The Worst Is Likely Over

Jul 22

Ares Commercial Real Estate: A Risky 14% Yield

Jun 04

Ares Commercial Real Estate: 12% Yield And High Margin Of Safety

Feb 22

Ares Commercial Real Estate Non-GAAP EPS of $0.44 beats by $0.07, revenue of $30.4M beats by $3.04M

Feb 15

Ares Commercial Real Estate: High Dividend Yield, Still Undervalued

Feb 09

Ares Commercial: I Am Getting A 12.5% Yield On My Last Purchase

Jan 08

Ares Commercial At 13% Yield Is A Gift

Jan 02

Ares Commercial Stock: 11% Dividend Yield And 16% Discount To Book Value

Nov 09

Ares Commercial Real Estate Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Nov 01

Ares Commercial: I Am Buying This Fat 13.1% Yield

Oct 13

Ares Commercial: A 10% Yield You Won't Want To Miss

Sep 15

Ares Commercial: 9.8% Yield, Robust Portfolio Growth, 0.93x Book Value

Aug 24

Ares Commercial Real Estate Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Jul 28

Ares Commercial: 9.3% Yield And Discount To Book Value

Jun 14

Ares Commercial: 8.6% Dividend Yield That Can Rise With Rates

May 17

Ares Commercial: Kick Back And Watch The Dividends Roll In

Apr 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ACRE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20267337N/AN/A2
12/31/20256728N/AN/A5
12/31/202466-23N/AN/A5
9/30/202439-643939N/A
6/30/202451-494444N/A
3/31/202437-454747N/A
12/31/20231-394747N/A
9/30/20234235252N/A
6/30/202329-55151N/A
3/31/20234275252N/A
12/31/202260305757N/A
9/30/202278446060N/A
6/30/202291535858N/A
3/31/2022100615555N/A
12/31/2021102604848N/A
9/30/202194583939N/A
6/30/202197633737N/A
3/31/202191553333N/A
12/31/202063223232N/A
9/30/202059173030N/A
6/30/202056113030N/A
3/31/202056113434N/A
12/31/201977373232N/A
9/30/201970373636N/A
6/30/201964383737N/A
3/31/201956383636N/A
12/31/201855393939N/A
9/30/201852353636N/A
6/30/20185236N/A36N/A
3/31/20184933N/A35N/A
12/31/20174630N/A31N/A
9/30/20174832N/A36N/A
6/30/20174528N/A-8N/A
3/31/20174527N/A1N/A
12/31/20164526N/A17N/A
9/30/20164525N/A73N/A
6/30/20164525N/A87N/A
3/31/20164726N/A169N/A
12/31/20155027N/A277N/A
9/30/20156029N/A-5N/A
6/30/20156327N/A42N/A
3/31/20156927N/A-105N/A
12/31/20143823N/A-217N/A
9/30/20146319N/A7N/A
6/30/20146022N/A-19N/A
3/31/20144718N/A32N/A
12/31/20133514N/A25N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ACRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ACRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: ACRE is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ACRE's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ACRE's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ACRE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 02:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Derek HewettBofA Global Research
Eric DrayBofA Global Research
Jessica Levi-RibnerB. Riley Securities, Inc.