Patria Investments Limited

NasdaqGS:PAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Patria Investments Valuation

Is PAX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PAX ($11.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PAX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PAX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.8x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PAX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PAX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
WT WisdomTree
20.4x20.1%US$1.5b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.4xn/aUS$1.2b
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners
13.5xn/aUS$1.5b
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.8xn/aUS$2.4b
PAX Patria Investments
21.2x40.1%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PAX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PAX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PAX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.2x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PAX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.34
US$17.36
+53.1%
20.0%US$23.00US$14.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$11.52
US$17.36
+50.7%
20.0%US$23.00US$14.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$11.99
US$18.28
+52.4%
16.7%US$23.00US$14.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$12.17
US$18.95
+55.7%
12.7%US$23.00US$16.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$13.00
US$18.95
+45.7%
12.7%US$23.00US$16.00n/a6
May ’25US$13.39
US$19.11
+42.7%
11.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$14.65
US$18.95
+29.4%
11.1%US$23.00US$17.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$14.89
US$18.95
+27.3%
11.1%US$23.00US$17.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$14.40
US$19.10
+32.6%
10.5%US$23.00US$17.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$15.51
US$18.67
+20.4%
9.1%US$21.17US$16.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$14.45
US$18.67
+29.2%
9.1%US$21.17US$16.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$13.02
US$19.10
+46.7%
10.3%US$21.50US$16.00n/a7
Oct ’24US$14.58
US$19.10
+31.0%
11.0%US$21.50US$16.00n/a7
Sep ’24US$14.60
US$19.21
+31.6%
10.3%US$21.50US$16.00US$11.528
Aug ’24US$15.36
US$19.21
+25.1%
10.3%US$21.50US$16.00US$11.998
Jul ’24US$14.30
US$18.90
+32.1%
9.5%US$21.17US$16.00US$12.178
Jun ’24US$15.25
US$19.02
+24.7%
8.5%US$21.17US$16.00US$13.008
May ’24US$15.01
US$19.27
+28.4%
7.4%US$21.17US$17.00US$13.398
Apr ’24US$14.80
US$19.77
+33.6%
5.6%US$21.17US$17.00US$14.658
Mar ’24US$15.90
US$19.77
+24.3%
5.6%US$21.17US$17.00US$14.898
Feb ’24US$15.50
US$19.40
+25.1%
6.4%US$21.17US$17.00US$14.408
Jan ’24US$13.93
US$19.27
+38.3%
6.9%US$21.17US$17.00US$15.518
Dec ’23US$13.54
US$18.52
+36.8%
8.3%US$21.17US$17.00US$14.458
Nov ’23US$14.61
US$19.24
+31.7%
10.1%US$22.50US$17.00US$13.027
Oct ’23US$13.05
US$19.38
+48.5%
10.1%US$22.50US$17.00US$14.587
Sep ’23US$13.79
US$20.95
+51.9%
16.0%US$28.00US$17.00US$14.607

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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