Northern Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Northern Trust's earnings are forecast to decline at 6.3% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 0.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 0.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.8% in 3 years.

Key information

-6.3%

Earnings growth rate

0.2%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	13.2%
Revenue growth rate	0.3%
Future return on equity	13.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Northern Trust Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Jul 19

Northern Trust Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 19

Recent updates

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Dec 04

Northern Trust: An Undervalued Asset Manager With Growth Indicators, Strong Capital

Nov 03

Northern Trust Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Jul 19

Northern Trust: A Fairly Valued Financial Stalwart

Jun 01

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.75

May 30

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.75

Apr 21

Northern Trust Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 19

Northern Trust's (NASDAQ:NTRS) Dividend Will Be $0.75

Mar 01

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Feb 13

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:NTRS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	8,041	1,496	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	7,837	1,483	N/A	N/A	6
12/31/2024	8,315	1,917	N/A	N/A	6
9/30/2024	7,858	1,632	4,223	4,952	N/A
6/30/2024	7,610	1,495	3,742	4,428	N/A
3/31/2024	6,675	935	663	1,338	N/A
12/31/2023	6,749	1,054	1,950	2,626	N/A
9/30/2023	6,729	1,096	3,281	3,974	N/A
6/30/2023	6,771	1,163	2,285	2,992	N/A
3/31/2023	6,762	1,228	777	1,481	N/A
12/31/2022	6,749	1,282	1,669	2,392	N/A
9/30/2022	6,914	1,532	-385	282	N/A
6/30/2022	6,806	1,534	1,036	1,660	N/A
3/31/2022	6,649	1,505	1,476	2,035	N/A
12/31/2021	6,546	1,491	841	1,356	N/A
9/30/2021	6,392	1,327	276	790	N/A
6/30/2021	6,230	1,225	-274	231	N/A
3/31/2021	6,063	1,170	4,117	4,650	N/A
12/31/2020	5,976	1,141	1,336	1,897	N/A
9/30/2020	6,000	1,267	1,422	2,057	N/A
6/30/2020	6,060	1,355	2,084	2,712	N/A
3/31/2020	6,133	1,430	-1,028	-387	N/A
12/31/2019	6,088	1,429	1,992	2,592	N/A
9/30/2019	6,047	1,466	882	1,415	N/A
6/30/2019	5,985	1,457	1,747	2,292	N/A
3/31/2019	5,977	1,456	2,028	2,539	N/A
12/31/2018	5,975	1,490	1,262	1,768	N/A
9/30/2018	5,892	1,437	1,710	2,159	N/A
6/30/2018	5,761	1,361	N/A	1,262	N/A
3/31/2018	5,584	1,239	N/A	458	N/A
12/31/2017	5,403	1,130	N/A	1,720	N/A
9/30/2017	5,239	1,041	N/A	1,708	N/A
6/30/2017	5,103	1,011	N/A	2,330	N/A
3/31/2017	5,100	1,006	N/A	2,590	N/A
12/31/2016	5,007	990	N/A	1,510	N/A
9/30/2016	4,904	964	N/A	2,022	N/A
6/30/2016	4,852	942	N/A	-200	N/A
3/31/2016	4,794	949	N/A	1,048	N/A
12/31/2015	4,746	935	N/A	1,834	N/A
9/30/2015	4,697	936	N/A	146	N/A
6/30/2015	4,611	912	N/A	923	N/A
3/31/2015	4,427	832	N/A	888	N/A
12/31/2014	4,325	789	N/A	936	N/A
9/30/2014	4,238	725	N/A	1,152	N/A
6/30/2014	4,202	727	N/A	3,661	N/A
3/31/2014	4,135	736	N/A	1,065	N/A
12/31/2013	4,069	719	N/A	839	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NTRS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: NTRS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NTRS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NTRS's revenue (0.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NTRS's revenue (0.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NTRS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.8%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 01:59
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Northern Trust Corporation is covered by 38 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jason Goldberg	Barclays
Jason Goldberg	Barclays
Ebrahim Poonawala	BofA Global Research

Northern Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$101

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 46%

Northern Trust Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Northern Trust Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Price target increased by 7.3% to US$86.53

Price target decreased by 7.0% to US$89.04

Recent updates

Northern Trust Appoints Kashif Khalid as Head of the Middle East and Africa (MEA) Operations

Northern Trust Corporation Appoints John Onderdonk as New Head of Agricultural Properties

Vice Chairman recently sold US$1.0m worth of stock

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Northern Trust Names Jesse Crane as Pacific Northwest Regional Director for Foundation & Institutional Advisors

Northern Trust Appoints Jordon Voss as President Pacific Northwest Region

Upcoming dividend of US$0.75 per share

Insider recently sold US$1.7m worth of stock

Northern Trust: An Undervalued Asset Manager With Growth Indicators, Strong Capital

Vice Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Third quarter dividend of US$0.75 announced

Northern Trust Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividends on Common Stock, Payable on January 1, 2025

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$101

Northern Trust: Solid Company But Slow Growth

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Northern Trust Corporation Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective October 1, 2024

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 46%

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.75

Second quarter dividend of US$0.75 announced

Northern Trust Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Northern Trust Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on October 1, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Northern Trust: A Fairly Valued Financial Stalwart

Upcoming dividend of US$0.75 per share

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.75

Northern Trust Appoints Chandra Dhandapani to Its Board of Directors

Northern Trust Promotes Ryan McCauley to Senior Managing Director for the Foundation & Institutional Advisors Practice in the West Region

Insider recently sold US$1.0m worth of stock

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Northern Trust Upgrades Cloud-Based Insurance Accounting and Analytics Application

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.75

First quarter dividend of US$0.75 announced

Northern Trust Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Northern Trust Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on July 1, 2024

Northern Trust Corporation Reports Consolidated Net Charge Offs for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024

Northern Trust Corporation Appoints Jordan Kiel as President of the Georgia Market

Northern Trust Appoints Gary Paulin Head of International Enterprise Client Solutions

Northern Trust Corporation Announces Appointment of Dotti Reeder as Market President of Dallas-Fort Worth

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Northern Trust's (NASDAQ:NTRS) Dividend Will Be $0.75

Upcoming dividend of US$0.75 per share

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Northern Trust Announces Olivier Noël as Country Head of Luxembourg

Northern Trust Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 17, 2024

Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.75

Northern Trust Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Apr 16, 2024

Northern Trust Announces Executive Changes

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.75 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Northern Trust Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividends on Common Stock, Payable on April 1, 2024

Price target increased by 7.3% to US$86.53

Northern Trust Corporation to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 18, 2024

Northern Trust Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Upcoming dividend of US$0.75 per share at 3.8% yield

Northern Trust Appoints Petra Sjogeras as Head of Nordics

Northern Trust Appoints Petra Sjogeras as Head of Nordics

Northern Trust Announces the Appointment of Head of Sales for the Nordics

Chairman & CEO recently bought US$1.3m worth of stock

Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Northern Trust Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividends on Common Stock, Payable on January 1, 2024

Northern Trust Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 18, 2023

Northern Trust Appoints Brian Donovan Senior Managing Director of Wealth Advisory Team and Ultra High Net Worth Practice Lead for East Region

Northern Trust Developing Digital Platform for Institutional Voluntary Carbon Credit Transactions

Northern Trust Appoints Aisling Keaneas as Head of Asset Servicing, Hong Kong