Golub Capital BDC Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Golub Capital BDC is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.4% and 3.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.2% in 3 years.
Key information
19.4%
Earnings growth rate
7.0%
EPS growth rate
| Capital Markets earnings growth | 14.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.3% |
| Future return on equity | 10.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 22 Nov 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
No updates
Recent updates
Golub Capital: High-Yield Play With Caveats
Nov 14Golub Capital: A Good Blend Of Yield, Quality, And Income In An Expensive Sector
Oct 31Golub Capital: Healthy And Well-Covered 11% Dividend
Oct 13Golub Capital BDC: A Solid Quarter But Worse Under The Hood
Sep 16Golub Capital BDC: A Strong 12% BDC Yield Trading Below NAV
Sep 10Golub Capital: 11% Yield And Cheap (Upgrade)
Aug 19Golub Capital: Price Drop Brings This Into Buy Zone (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 03Golub Capital: Buy The Dip On This 10% Yield
Jul 21Golub Capital: A 10% Yielding BDC That Remains An Attractive Income Play
Jun 13Golub Capital: 11% Yield And Merger Catalyst
May 24Golub Capital: Outperformance In Q2 Made This BDC Too Expensive (Downgrade)
May 07Golub Capital: Add To Your Cashflow With This 9.4% Yield
Apr 04Golub Capital: A BDC To Consider Whether Or Not Rates Remain Higher
Feb 24Golub Capital: Q1 Earnings Show Additional Supplemental Distributions Likely
Feb 06Golub Capital BDC originates $176.7M commitments in fiscal Q4; fair value declines
Oct 11Golub Capital BDC goes ex-dividend tomorrow
Aug 31Golub Capital: I Am Buying This 8.6% Yielding BDC Hand Over Fist
Aug 21Golub Capital BDC originates $449.6M in fiscal Q3; fair value estimated to rise
Jul 12Golub Capital: This Is A Doubling Down Opportunity
Jun 23Golub Capital: Initiating A Position In This 8.5%-Yielding BDC
May 26Golub Capital: Collect A Covered 7.8% Yield From This BDC
Apr 14Golub Capital: 7.6% Yield, Get Paid To Own This Stalwart BDC
Feb 21Golub Capital BDC: Q3 Update - Income Tailwinds Drive Dividend Increase
Dec 09Conservative Portfolio Safely Paying Investors 7.3%: Golub Capital
Oct 17Golub Capital BDC: A BDC With A Margin Of Safety
Oct 04Golub Capital: This Stalwart Pays You A 7.6% Yield
Sep 21Golub Capital records record deal activity in Q4
Jan 11Golub Capital BDC: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain
Dec 06Golub Capital BDC NII beats by $0.01, misses on total investment income
Nov 30Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2026 | 776 | 421 | N/A | 412 | 4 |
| 9/30/2025 | 813 | 447 | N/A | 266 | 4 |
| 9/30/2024 | 725 | 274 | 344 | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 665 | 280 | 608 | 608 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 648 | 344 | 426 | 426 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 631 | 309 | 306 | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 603 | 259 | 195 | 195 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 558 | 165 | 290 | 290 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 499 | 108 | 55 | 55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 438 | 116 | -182 | -182 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 388 | 153 | -416 | -416 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 349 | 217 | -962 | -962 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 329 | 284 | -734 | -734 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 320 | 309 | -323 | -323 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 307 | 340 | -306 | -306 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 298 | 363 | 183 | 183 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 295 | 423 | 245 | 245 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 294 | 102 | 135 | 135 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 299 | 55 | 188 | 188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 276 | -114 | 47 | 47 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 245 | -237 | -4 | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 211 | 10 | -114 | -114 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 172 | -19 | -118 | -118 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 164 | 71 | -50 | -50 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 160 | 74 | -112 | -112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 155 | 79 | -113 | -113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 152 | 82 | -8 | -8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 147 | 89 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 144 | 87 | N/A | 65 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 140 | 85 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 138 | 82 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 137 | 76 | N/A | -88 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 134 | 74 | N/A | -36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 131 | 68 | N/A | -93 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 128 | 69 | N/A | -56 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 127 | 73 | N/A | 29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 125 | 73 | N/A | -104 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 123 | 76 | N/A | -39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 120 | 71 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 117 | 72 | N/A | -172 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 115 | 69 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 111 | 66 | N/A | -158 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 110 | 65 | N/A | -256 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 102 | 57 | N/A | -295 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 96 | 54 | N/A | -409 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 91 | 52 | N/A | -364 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GBDC's forecast earnings growth (19.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: GBDC's earnings (19.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GBDC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: GBDC's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GBDC's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GBDC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).