Stock Analysis

DLocal (DLO) Is Up 12.2% After Goldman Sachs Upgrade on Stablecoin Partnership Prospects

  • DLocal recently saw increased investor interest after Goldman Sachs upgraded its outlook, citing confidence in the company’s ability to deliver higher EBITDA growth through diversification and new partnerships.
  • This shift in analyst sentiment highlights the market’s growing focus on fintechs expanding into stablecoin and alternative payment infrastructure within emerging markets.
  • We’ll explore how Goldman Sachs’ optimism about DLocal’s partnerships with stablecoin operators could reshape its long-term growth outlook.

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DLocal Investment Narrative Recap

Owning DLocal stock means believing in the fintech’s capacity to drive sustained growth by diversifying its client base, expanding into new regions and payment methods, and managing margin pressures as it tackles competition and evolving regulation. While the Goldman Sachs upgrade and recent rally spotlight investor confidence, the most immediate catalyst remains DLocal's revenue diversification efforts, whereas heavy reliance on top merchants is still the biggest risk; this news does not materially change that risk right now.

The recently announced alliance with Western Union is highly relevant, as it expands DLocal’s reach in Latin America and further supports its geographic and product diversification, one of the main catalysts underscored by analysts and now echoed by market reactions to the Goldman Sachs upgrade. This new partnership brings increased payment flows and adds to DLocal’s ambition to reduce client concentration risk, a key focus for investors tracking short-term stability and long-term resilience.

However, investors should also keep in mind that despite these positive developments, customer churn risk remains concentrated among just a handful of DLocal’s top global clients, if even one scales back...

Read the full narrative on DLocal (it's free!)

DLocal's narrative projects $1.7 billion revenue and $346.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 25.7% yearly revenue growth and a $200.4 million earnings increase from $145.9 million today.

Uncover how DLocal's forecasts yield a $15.94 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DLO Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
DLO Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Twenty-one Simply Wall St Community members have shared fair value estimates for DLocal ranging from US$10 to US$195.39. Your peers’ views reflect how key risks like client concentration may shape returns in the eyes of different market participants, so be sure to explore several unique viewpoints.

Explore 21 other fair value estimates on DLocal - why the stock might be worth 37% less than the current price!

Build Your Own DLocal Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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