Stock Analysis

Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AFRM) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

NasdaqGS:AFRM
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.2x in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AFRM) P/S ratio of 2.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Affirm Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AFRM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2023

What Does Affirm Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Affirm Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Affirm Holdings.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Affirm Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Affirm Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 190% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Affirm Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Affirm Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Affirm Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.