TravelSky Technology Limited

OTCPK:TSYH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.7b

TravelSky Technology Valuation

Is TSYH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSYH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSYH.F ($1.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSYH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSYH.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TSYH.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.6x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSYH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSYH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
TNL Travel + Leisure
8.2x3.9%US$3.2b
CHH Choice Hotels International
26.1x11.3%US$6.1b
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations
23.5x51.9%US$3.6b
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide
16.6x37.0%US$2.6b
TSYH.F TravelSky Technology
21.1x17.1%US$36.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSYH.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSYH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSYH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSYH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSYH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSYH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSYH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.76
US$1.52
-13.9%
13.8%US$1.96US$1.24n/a8
Sep ’25US$1.47
US$1.50
+2.4%
13.8%US$1.94US$1.22n/a8
Aug ’25US$1.19
US$1.46
+23.3%
20.5%US$2.16US$1.18n/a8
Jul ’25US$1.15
US$1.52
+32.5%
17.7%US$2.17US$1.22n/a8
Jun ’25US$1.39
US$1.49
+7.2%
18.4%US$2.17US$1.22n/a8
May ’25US$1.29
US$1.48
+14.8%
19.8%US$2.17US$1.10n/a8
Apr ’25US$1.25
US$1.46
+17.1%
21.8%US$2.17US$0.96n/a8
Mar ’25US$1.23
US$1.43
+16.7%
32.8%US$2.53US$0.96n/a8
Feb ’25US$1.04
US$1.73
+67.4%
34.0%US$2.54US$0.96n/a8
Jan ’25US$1.67
US$2.53
+50.8%
7.8%US$2.99US$2.25n/a8
Dec ’24US$1.73
US$2.47
+42.8%
7.6%US$2.91US$2.23n/a8
Nov ’24US$1.61
US$2.48
+53.7%
7.6%US$2.90US$2.23n/a8
Oct ’24US$1.70
US$2.48
+46.3%
7.6%US$2.90US$2.23US$1.488
Sep ’24US$1.85
US$2.49
+34.3%
7.6%US$2.91US$2.23US$1.478
Aug ’24US$1.89
US$2.45
+29.7%
8.8%US$2.79US$2.19US$1.198
Jul ’24US$1.73
US$2.44
+40.5%
8.9%US$2.82US$2.22US$1.158
Jun ’24US$1.87
US$2.43
+30.4%
9.6%US$2.83US$2.13US$1.398
May ’24US$2.03
US$2.49
+23.0%
8.9%US$2.87US$2.20US$1.298
Apr ’24US$1.84
US$2.37
+28.3%
18.7%US$2.86US$1.34US$1.258
Mar ’24US$2.06
US$2.27
+9.9%
17.4%US$2.65US$1.36US$1.238
Feb ’24US$2.10
US$2.27
+8.0%
17.4%US$2.65US$1.36US$1.048
Jan ’24US$2.07
US$2.05
-1.1%
22.8%US$2.57US$1.25US$1.679
Dec ’23US$1.96
US$2.00
+1.8%
22.2%US$2.44US$1.24US$1.739
Nov ’23US$1.43
US$1.89
+32.2%
20.7%US$2.37US$1.21US$1.6110
Oct ’23US$1.66
US$1.93
+16.1%
21.0%US$2.44US$1.28US$1.7010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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