Luckin Coffee Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Luckin Coffee has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 56.2%, while the Hospitality industry saw earnings growing at 35.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 40.8% per year. Luckin Coffee's return on equity is 20.1%, and it has net margins of 6.8%.
Key information
56.25%
Earnings growth rate
57.44%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality Industry Growth | 19.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 40.75% |
| Return on equity | 20.14% |
| Net Margin | 6.84% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Narrative Update • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Narrative Update • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Narrative Update • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Narrative Update • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Narrative Update • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Narrative Update • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Narrative Update • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Narrative Update • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Narrative Update • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Narrative Update • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Narrative Update • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
New Narrative • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Luckin Coffee makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 25,622 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 23,859 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 21,885 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 18,778 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 16,790 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 15,772 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 31,927 | 2,401 | 14,513 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 28,946 | 2,075 | 12,970 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 26,745 | 2,200 | 11,707 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 10,404 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 9,014 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 7,860 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 6,886 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 13,293 | 488 | 6,269 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 12,031 | 1,355 | 5,846 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 10,486 | 803 | 5,297 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 9,101 | 831 | 4,865 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 7,965 | 579 | 4,480 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 6,879 | -2,665 | 4,046 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 5,671 | -4,353 | 3,592 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 4,530 | -5,044 | 3,525 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 4,033 | -5,589 | 3,595 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 2,783 | -4,661 | 3,665 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,182 | -3,481 | 4,216 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,319 | -3,918 | 4,304 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,025 | -3,713 | 3,993 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,395 | -3,765 | 3,748 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,094 | -3,718 | 2,991 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,306 | -3,631 | 2,321 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 841 | -3,190 | 1,800 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1 | -113 | 110 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: LKNC.Y has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: LKNC.Y's current net profit margins (6.8%) are lower than last year (9.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LKNC.Y has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 56.2% per year.
Accelerating Growth: LKNC.Y's earnings growth over the past year (0.6%) is below its 5-year average (56.2% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: LKNC.Y earnings growth over the past year (0.6%) did not outperform the Hospitality industry 10.1%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: LKNC.Y's Return on Equity (20.1%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 09:59 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Luckin Coffee Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |