Vivint Smart Home, Inc.

NYSE:VVNT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Vivint Smart Home Valuation

Is VVNT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VVNT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VVNT ($12) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VVNT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VVNT?

Key metric: As VVNT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VVNT. This is calculated by dividing VVNT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VVNT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
SalesUS$1.68b
Market CapUS$2.58b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VVNT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VVNT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
MCW Mister Car Wash
2.7x8.3%US$2.6b
FTDR Frontdoor
2.4x4.8%US$4.4b
ADT ADT
1.3x2.6%US$6.8b
HRB H&R Block
2.2x2.7%US$8.1b
VVNT Vivint Smart Home
1.5x6.6%US$2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VVNT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WW WW International
0.1x-3.7%US$107.02m
BEDU Bright Scholar Education Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$52.02m
BODI Beachbody Company
0.1x-12.9%US$44.45m
PET Wag! Group
0.1x0.6%US$10.69m
VVNT 1.5xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies12PS012345+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.6x)

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VVNT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VVNT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VVNT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Nov ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Oct ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
May ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
US$11.60
0%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Mar ’24US$11.91
US$11.60
-2.6%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Feb ’24US$11.98
US$11.60
-3.2%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jan ’24US$11.90
US$11.60
-2.5%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Dec ’23US$9.38
US$8.78
-6.4%
13.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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