We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Vivint Smart Home Valuation

Is VVNT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VVNT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VVNT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA54.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VVNT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VVNT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.8x
MCW Mister Car Wash
3.7x8.8%US$3.1b
FTDR Frontdoor
1.3x5.3%US$2.2b
EWCZ European Wax Center
4.3x10.3%US$1.2b
HRB H&R Block
1.8x1.9%US$6.1b
VVNT Vivint Smart Home
1.6x7.2%US$2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VVNT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.9%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.6x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VVNT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VVNT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VVNT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VVNT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VVNT ($11.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($5.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VVNT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VVNT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.98
US$11.60
-3.2%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Jan ’24US$11.90
US$11.60
-2.5%
6.9%US$12.00US$10.00n/a5
Dec ’23US$9.38
US$8.78
-6.4%
13.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a5
Nov ’23US$7.74
US$9.06
+17.1%
24.6%US$12.00US$6.00n/a5
Oct ’23US$6.58
US$9.10
+38.3%
24.2%US$12.00US$6.00n/a5
Sep ’23US$6.46
US$9.08
+40.6%
22.1%US$12.00US$6.00n/a6
Aug ’23US$4.80
US$10.17
+111.8%
33.8%US$17.00US$6.00n/a6
Jul ’23US$3.51
US$10.50
+199.1%
32.4%US$17.00US$6.00n/a6
Jun ’23US$5.82
US$11.17
+91.9%
27.1%US$17.00US$8.00n/a6
May ’23US$5.24
US$12.28
+134.4%
23.5%US$17.00US$7.70n/a6
Apr ’23US$6.56
US$12.28
+87.2%
23.5%US$17.00US$7.70n/a6
Mar ’23US$7.52
US$12.28
+63.3%
23.5%US$17.00US$7.70n/a6
Feb ’23US$7.31
US$15.00
+105.2%
27.8%US$23.00US$11.00US$11.986
Jan ’23US$9.78
US$15.67
+60.2%
24.1%US$23.00US$11.00US$11.906
Dec ’22US$10.05
US$17.00
+69.2%
18.0%US$23.00US$13.00US$9.386
Nov ’22US$9.81
US$16.83
+71.6%
22.6%US$22.00US$10.00US$7.746
Oct ’22US$9.57
US$17.50
+82.9%
15.7%US$22.00US$14.00US$6.586
Sep ’22US$12.79
US$18.00
+40.7%
15.3%US$22.00US$14.00US$6.465
Aug ’22US$12.27
US$21.00
+71.1%
35.3%US$34.00US$13.00US$4.805
Jul ’22US$13.36
US$21.00
+57.2%
35.3%US$34.00US$13.00US$3.515
Jun ’22US$14.07
US$21.00
+49.3%
32.2%US$34.00US$13.00US$5.826
May ’22US$11.98
US$23.50
+96.2%
20.4%US$34.00US$20.00US$5.246
Apr ’22US$14.55
US$23.33
+60.4%
26.3%US$34.00US$14.00US$6.566
Mar ’22US$16.95
US$23.33
+37.7%
26.3%US$34.00US$14.00US$7.526
Feb ’22US$19.89
US$23.33
+17.3%
26.6%US$34.00US$14.00US$7.316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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