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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sunlands Technology Group's (NYSE:STG) 44% Price Drop
Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE:STG) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 44% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may consider Sunlands Technology Group as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Sunlands Technology Group
How Has Sunlands Technology Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Sunlands Technology Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sunlands Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sunlands Technology Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Sunlands Technology Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 15% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Sunlands Technology Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Sunlands Technology Group's P/S?
Sunlands Technology Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Sunlands Technology Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Sunlands Technology Group that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:STG
Sunlands Technology Group
Provides online education services through online and mobile platforms in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.