Stock Analysis

GreenTree Hospitality Group (NYSE:GHG) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

NYSE:GHG
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating GreenTree Hospitality Group (NYSE:GHG), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for GreenTree Hospitality Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.093 = CN¥324m ÷ (CN¥4.5b - CN¥1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).

Therefore, GreenTree Hospitality Group has an ROCE of 9.3%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 9.4%, it's still a low return by itself.

Check out our latest analysis for GreenTree Hospitality Group

roce
NYSE:GHG Return on Capital Employed April 28th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for GreenTree Hospitality Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering GreenTree Hospitality Group here for free.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of GreenTree Hospitality Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 24%, but since then they've fallen to 9.3%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

The Key Takeaway

While returns have fallen for GreenTree Hospitality Group in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. But since the stock has dived 72% in the last three years, there could be other drivers that are influencing the business' outlook. Therefore, we'd suggest researching the stock further to uncover more about the business.

If you'd like to know more about GreenTree Hospitality Group, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

While GreenTree Hospitality Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GreenTree Hospitality Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.