Adtalem Global Education Inc.

NYSE:ATGE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.3b

Adtalem Global Education Valuation

Is ATGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ATGE ($87.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($232.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATGE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATGE?

Key metric: As ATGE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATGE. This is calculated by dividing ATGE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ATGE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsUS$172.00m
Market CapUS$3.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATGE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.5x
LAUR Laureate Education
11.3x2.3%US$2.8b
KLC KinderCare Learning Companies
46.9x42.5%US$2.7b
GHC Graham Holdings
17.5xn/aUS$4.0b
LRN Stride
18.1x14.6%US$4.4b
ATGE Adtalem Global Education
19.1x20.4%US$3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (23.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATGE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
2.7x-21.4%US$144.65m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$90.87m
RGS Regis
0.5xn/aUS$42.43m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
ATGE 19.1xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATGE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATGE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATGE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATGE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$87.77
US$91.50
+4.2%
1.6%US$93.00US$90.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$79.70
US$91.50
+14.8%
1.6%US$93.00US$90.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$75.37
US$87.00
+15.4%
2.8%US$90.00US$84.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$75.71
US$87.00
+14.9%
2.8%US$90.00US$84.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$76.99
US$78.67
+2.2%
10.7%US$90.00US$70.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$67.27
US$68.33
+1.6%
3.4%US$70.00US$65.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$64.39
US$68.33
+6.1%
3.4%US$70.00US$65.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$58.95
US$58.33
-1.0%
8.1%US$65.00US$55.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$58.76
US$54.33
-7.5%
1.7%US$55.00US$53.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$53.65
US$54.33
+1.3%
1.7%US$55.00US$53.00US$79.703
Oct ’24US$42.85
US$50.67
+18.2%
6.5%US$55.00US$47.00US$75.373
Sep ’24US$45.50
US$50.67
+11.4%
6.5%US$55.00US$47.00US$75.713
Aug ’24US$43.31
US$45.33
+4.7%
4.2%US$48.00US$44.00US$76.993
Jul ’24US$34.34
US$45.33
+32.0%
4.2%US$48.00US$44.00US$67.273
Jun ’24US$41.80
US$45.33
+8.5%
4.2%US$48.00US$44.00US$64.393
May ’24US$40.82
US$44.67
+9.4%
5.6%US$48.00US$42.00US$50.523
Apr ’24US$38.62
US$44.67
+15.7%
5.6%US$48.00US$42.00US$52.343
Mar ’24US$38.52
US$44.67
+16.0%
5.6%US$48.00US$42.00US$49.143
Feb ’24US$38.54
US$44.67
+15.9%
5.6%US$48.00US$42.00US$46.723
Jan ’24US$35.50
US$45.33
+27.7%
5.5%US$48.00US$42.00US$58.953
Dec ’23US$41.24
US$45.33
+9.9%
5.5%US$48.00US$42.00US$58.763
Nov ’23US$41.66
US$43.33
+4.0%
5.8%US$46.00US$40.00US$53.653

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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