PlayAGS Valuation

Is AGS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGS ($8.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AGS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6x
PEG Ratio14.3x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AGS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AGS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
INSE Inspired Entertainment
0.8x-1.0%US$256.2m
CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg
2.1x18.3%US$316.2m
EVRI Everi Holdings
1x19.0%US$800.2m
FLL Full House Resorts
0.8x17.4%US$200.3m
AGS PlayAGS
1x3.6%US$347.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AGS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AGS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AGS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.98
US$13.00
+44.8%
4.9%US$14.00US$12.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$9.13
US$12.20
+33.6%
3.3%US$13.00US$12.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$8.91
US$12.00
+34.7%
5.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$8.43
US$11.40
+35.2%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$7.87
US$11.40
+44.9%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$7.29
US$11.40
+56.4%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$6.52
US$11.50
+76.4%
10.9%US$14.00US$10.00n/a6
Sep ’24US$6.73
US$11.60
+72.4%
11.7%US$14.00US$10.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$6.92
US$11.00
+59.0%
12.9%US$14.00US$10.00n/a6
Jul ’24US$5.65
US$11.25
+99.1%
17.6%US$15.00US$9.00n/a8
Jun ’24US$5.49
US$11.25
+104.9%
17.6%US$15.00US$9.00n/a8
May ’24US$5.40
US$11.13
+106.0%
20.8%US$15.00US$7.00n/a8
Apr ’24US$7.15
US$11.13
+55.6%
20.8%US$15.00US$7.00n/a8
Mar ’24US$6.48
US$10.75
+65.9%
23.6%US$15.00US$7.00US$9.138
Feb ’24US$6.66
US$10.75
+61.4%
23.6%US$15.00US$7.00US$8.918
Jan ’24US$5.10
US$11.38
+123.0%
20.1%US$15.00US$7.00US$8.438
Dec ’23US$5.37
US$11.38
+111.8%
20.1%US$15.00US$7.00US$7.878
Nov ’23US$6.90
US$11.50
+66.7%
23.8%US$16.00US$6.00US$7.298
Oct ’23US$5.30
US$11.50
+117.0%
23.8%US$16.00US$6.00US$6.528
Sep ’23US$7.24
US$11.50
+58.8%
23.8%US$16.00US$6.00US$6.738
Aug ’23US$4.88
US$11.44
+134.4%
28.3%US$16.00US$5.50US$6.928
Jul ’23US$5.30
US$12.16
+129.5%
23.8%US$16.00US$6.30US$5.658
Jun ’23US$5.68
US$12.41
+118.5%
26.4%US$18.00US$6.30US$5.498
May ’23US$6.60
US$13.13
+98.9%
20.0%US$18.00US$9.00US$5.408
Apr ’23US$6.50
US$13.43
+106.6%
19.8%US$18.00US$9.00US$7.157
Mar ’23US$7.81
US$13.86
+77.4%
24.2%US$21.00US$9.00US$6.487

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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