ADT Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
ADT has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 58.3%, while the Consumer Services industry saw earnings growing at 25.1% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.3% per year. ADT's return on equity is 16.5%, and it has net margins of 12.2%.
Key information
58.32%
Earnings growth rate
59.87%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Services Industry Growth | 20.27% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.33% |
| Return on equity | 16.51% |
| Net Margin | 12.21% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
ADT: Cash Strength And AI Expansion Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts report that the Street price target for ADT has recently moved in a mixed fashion, with Morgan Stanley lifting its target by $0.50 while Goldman Sachs brought its target down to $9 from $10.40. This reflects differing views on valuation despite broadly consistent assumptions around growth, margins, and discount rates.Seeking Alpha • May 16
ADT Has A Clear AI-Driven Future (Rating Upgrade)
Summary ADT becomes a more attractive investment following Apollo's complete exit and significant share repurchases. Despite flat revenue and EPS guidance in 2026, ADT targets a 5% revenue and 10% EPS CAGR, leveraging AI and the Origin AI acquisition for operational improvements and differentiation. My updated DCF values ADT at $10.33 per share, indicating a 50% undervaluation with an 8.5% shareholder yield. Risks remain from potential State Farm exit and competitive threats, but ADT's differentiated offering and capital allocation support a Strong Buy rating at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 04
ADT: Cash Returns And Flat 2026 Outlook Will Shape Future Repricing
ADT's updated analyst price target edges higher to $8.16 from $8.10, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple while keeping the change in the discount rate limited. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for ADT, with some analysts more optimistic on long term potential and others focused on near term execution risk and guidance.Narrative Update • Apr 19
ADT: Cash Flow Focus And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Repricing
Narrative Update on ADT The updated analyst price target for ADT moves to $8.10, reflecting a cluster of recent target cuts into the $7 to $9 range as analysts factor in muted 2026 guidance, softer revenue trends, and execution risk around distribution changes and investment driven margin pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ADT centers on lower price targets, more cautious 2026 expectations, and a mixed read on execution tied to distribution changes and investment plans.Narrative Update • Apr 03
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Will Drive Long-Term Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ADT to reflect a tighter valuation range around $7 to $9, citing mixed recent results, muted 2026 guidance with flat revenue and EPS expectations, and execution risks tied to distribution changes and higher investment. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on ADT, with analysts recalibrating price targets into a tighter $7 to $9 range and reassessing how much risk they are willing to underwrite as the company leans into distribution changes and higher investment.Narrative Update • Mar 19
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Upside
Narrative Update on ADT The updated analyst target for ADT has shifted lower by about $0.70 per share, reflecting a cluster of recent target cuts into the $7 to $9 range as analysts factor in mixed quarterly results, muted 2026 guidance, and a gradual path to any potential improvement in fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on ADT highlight a split view, with some analysts still seeing long-term upside potential and others focusing on execution challenges and muted guidance.Narrative Update • Mar 04
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Set Up Long-Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ADT to about $8.80 from $9.58, citing softer revenue growth expectations, slightly lower margin assumptions, a higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple as they factor in muted 2026 guidance, slower subscriber growth, and execution risk around the company’s current plans. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more cautious stance on ADT, with lower price targets clustered in a relatively narrow range and a focus on execution over the next few years.Analysis Article • Jan 22
The Return Trends At ADT (NYSE:ADT) Look Promising
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...Analysis Article • Jan 04
Is Now The Time To Put ADT (NYSE:ADT) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Dec 06
ADT Inc.'s (NYSE:ADT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
ADT Inc.'s ( NYSE:ADT ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...Analysis Article • Nov 07
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.055
The board of ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.055 per share on the 8th of January...Analysis Article • Sep 03
When Should You Buy ADT Inc. (NYSE:ADT)?
ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw its share price hover around a small range of US$8.11...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Connected Smart Home Devices And AI Will Ensure Future Stability
Analysts have raised their price target for ADT from $9.38 to $9.58, citing increased investor interest from decreased private equity ownership, strong Q2 results, and robust free cash flow. Analyst Commentary Decreased private equity ownership is drawing increased investor attention.Analysis Article • Jul 27
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.055
The board of ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.055 per share on the 2nd of October...Analysis Article • Jun 26
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
ADT: Solid Quarter Adds Confidence To Potential Growth Acceleration
Summary I maintain a buy rating for ADT, driven by solid 1Q25 results, improved fundamentals, and promising growth prospects with the ADT+ platform. ADT's 1Q25 earnings showed 7% y/y revenue growth, margin expansion, and a record-low customer churn rate, highlighting the essential nature of its services. The ADT+ Translator and Trusted Neighbor features are strategic upgrades, enhancing customer retention and monetization, thus expanding ADT's addressable revenue base. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 02
ADT Inc.: Earnings Growth Will Drive Share Price Upside
Summary 4Q24 results highlight ADT's strong fundamentals, efficient customer acquisition strategy, reduced churn, and strong pricing power. ADT+ platform adoption boosts revenue through upfront equipment purchases, reducing reliance on new customer acquisition and providing revenue growth stability. AI-driven automation and State Farm partnership enhance margins and growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
ADT Inc.: An Overlooked Cash Generator Trading At An Attractive Price
Summary ADT's renewed focus on the residential market, debt reduction, and exiting unprofitable ventures signal a more streamlined and profitable future. Strategic partnerships with Google and State Farm enhance growth, reduce customer acquisition costs, and improve service offerings. ADT's valuation is attractive with a forward P/E-multiple of 9.3x, supported by strong earnings growth and potential for higher multiples. The company offers a 3.2% dividend yield with room for growth, alongside a significant buyback program to boost per share metrics. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 03
ADT Inc: I Have More Confidence That Growth Can Accelerate
Summary I reiterate a buy rating for ADT, confident that growth can accelerate to high single digits over the next three years. Key drivers include reduced customer churn, a successful State Farm partnership, new account acquisitions, and the rollout of the ADT+ platform. Potential decline in mortgage rates and rebuilding from recent hurricanes offer additional growth opportunities for ADT. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 25
ADT Inc.: Leading Player In US Home Security Solutions
Summary I give a buy rating for ADT Inc. due to its leading position and strong partnerships in the growing U.S. home security market. ADT benefits from a large total addressable market, with significant growth potential as many households still lack security solutions. Key partnerships with Google and State Farm enhance distribution capabilities, driving higher ARPU and customer retention. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 28
Innovative Smart Home Integrations And Strategic Partnerships Drive Growth And Customer Loyalty
Expansion and innovation with the ADT+ platform and partnerships like Google increase customer acquisition, retention, and satisfaction.Seeking Alpha • Jun 03
ADT: Improving Security
Summary ADT has struggled with debt and lackluster earnings but has seen improvements in its core security business and following the divestment of non-core assets. The company exited the residential solar business and announced a dividend increase and share buyback program. ADT's net debt has decreased and the quality of its core business has improved, as I am still awaiting to pull the trigger. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How ADT makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 5,140 | 627 | 1,441 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 5,129 | 601 | 1,444 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,113 | 652 | 1,475 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 5,059 | 640 | 1,447 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,976 | 598 | 1,475 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4,898 | 619 | 1,476 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 4,810 | 529 | 1,432 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 4,747 | 520 | 1,440 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 4,710 | 575 | 1,383 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 4,653 | 450 | 1,348 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 4,798 | 485 | 1,409 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 4,908 | 193 | 1,478 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 4,756 | 95 | 1,516 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 4,382 | 312 | 1,348 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 5,232 | -93 | 1,700 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 5,259 | -33 | 1,733 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 5,547 | -241 | 1,822 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 4,203 | -344 | 1,541 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 5,241 | -395 | 1,799 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 5,223 | -399 | 1,760 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 5,250 | -380 | 1,729 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 5,315 | -632 | 1,734 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 5,298 | -592 | 1,639 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 5,300 | -661 | 1,595 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 5,252 | -658 | 1,525 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 5,126 | -424 | 1,397 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 5,013 | -502 | 1,396 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 4,861 | -556 | 1,289 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 4,708 | -518 | 1,266 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 4,582 | -609 | 1,247 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,502 | 179 | 1,191 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 4,436 | 352 | 1,215 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 4,373 | 326 | 1,178 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 4,316 | 343 | 1,209 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 4,261 | -381 | 1,221 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 4,216 | -410 | 1,237 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 3,578 | -497 | 1,082 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,950 | -537 | 859 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 549 | -54 | 159 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: ADT has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: ADT's current net profit margins (12.2%) are higher than last year (12%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ADT has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 58.3% per year.
Accelerating Growth: ADT's earnings growth over the past year (4.9%) is below its 5-year average (58.3% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: ADT earnings growth over the past year (4.9%) did not outperform the Consumer Services industry 11.7%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: ADT's Return on Equity (16.5%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/14 12:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ADT Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Gary Bisbee | BofA Global Research |
| Peter Christiansen | Citigroup Inc |