Stock Analysis

What Does Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s (NYSE:ACEL) Share Price Indicate?

NYSE:ACEL
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Accel Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:ACEL), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Accel Entertainment’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Accel Entertainment

Is Accel Entertainment Still Cheap?

Good news, investors! Accel Entertainment is still a bargain right now. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is $16.58, but it is currently trading at US$11.02 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Accel Entertainment’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Accel Entertainment generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:ACEL Earnings and Revenue Growth July 13th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Accel Entertainment, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the upcoming, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although ACEL is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to ACEL, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ACEL for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

If you want to dive deeper into Accel Entertainment, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Accel Entertainment (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.