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Little Excitement Around Zhongchao Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZCMD) Revenues As Shares Take 50% Pounding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Zhongchao Inc. (NASDAQ:ZCMD) share price has dived 50% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 67% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may consider Zhongchao as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhongchao
How Zhongchao Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Zhongchao over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhongchao, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhongchao?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhongchao's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. Revenue has also lifted 5.3% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Zhongchao is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Zhongchao's P/S
Zhongchao's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhongchao revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhongchao (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhongchao might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:ZCMD
Zhongchao
Provides healthcare information, education, and training services in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.