Stock Analysis

Is Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TXRH) Latest Stock Performance Being Led By Its Strong Fundamentals?

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NasdaqGS:TXRH

Most readers would already know that Texas Roadhouse's (NASDAQ:TXRH) stock increased by 5.8% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term financial health, we decided to study the company’s fundamentals to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Texas Roadhouse's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Texas Roadhouse

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Texas Roadhouse is:

30% = US$380m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.30.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Texas Roadhouse's Earnings Growth And 30% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Texas Roadhouse has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 19% the company's ROE is quite impressive. As a result, Texas Roadhouse's exceptional 25% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

Next, on comparing Texas Roadhouse's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 26% over the last few years.

NasdaqGS:TXRH Past Earnings Growth August 2nd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Texas Roadhouse is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Texas Roadhouse Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Texas Roadhouse has a three-year median payout ratio of 46% (where it is retaining 54% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Texas Roadhouse is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Texas Roadhouse has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 37% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Texas Roadhouse's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 32% for future ROE.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Texas Roadhouse's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Texas Roadhouse might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.