Portillo's (PTLO) Stock Overview
Owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
PTLO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Portillo's Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$3.96 |
| 52 Week High | US$12.37 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.81 |
| Beta | 1.73 |
| 1 Month Change | -30.77% |
| 3 Month Change | -22.81% |
| 1 Year Change | -67.16% |
| 3 Year Change | -81.42% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -86.39% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 01
PTLO: Execution On New Formats And Markets Will Drive Future ReRating
Narrative Update on Portillo's Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Portillo's from about $14.32 to roughly $9.86. This reflects recent price target cuts and more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples across several research updates.
Narrative Update • May 17
PTLO: Future Upside Will Rely On Turnaround Execution In Underperforming Texas Market
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Portillo's by a few dollars, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, a lower future P/E near 25x and higher discount rates, partially balanced by improved profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Portillo's has featured a mix of cautious tones and pockets of optimism, with several firms updating ratings and price targets within a short window.Seeking Alpha • May 07
Portillo's Could Still Work, Just Not The Way Market Expected
Summary Portillo's remains a 'Buy' as the market has likely priced in a worst-case scenario, despite a double miss and post-earnings sell-off. PTLO is transitioning from a high-growth to a cash-generative, operationally focused model, with a strategic reset under new leadership and reduced restaurant openings. Near-term headwinds include margin compression from operational deleveraging, weak same-store sales, and pricing challenges, but positive FCF inflection is expected by FY 2027. Valuation scenarios suggest a price target range of $4.65 (bear) to $6.20 (bull), with risk justified at a small portfolio allocation given turnaround uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 01
PTLO: Execution On New Formats And Markets Will Drive Future ReRating
Narrative Update on Portillo's Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Portillo's from about $14.32 to roughly $9.86. This reflects recent price target cuts and more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples across several research updates.Narrative Update • May 17
PTLO: Future Upside Will Rely On Turnaround Execution In Underperforming Texas Market
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Portillo's by a few dollars, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, a lower future P/E near 25x and higher discount rates, partially balanced by improved profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Portillo's has featured a mix of cautious tones and pockets of optimism, with several firms updating ratings and price targets within a short window.Seeking Alpha • May 07
Portillo's Could Still Work, Just Not The Way Market Expected
Summary Portillo's remains a 'Buy' as the market has likely priced in a worst-case scenario, despite a double miss and post-earnings sell-off. PTLO is transitioning from a high-growth to a cash-generative, operationally focused model, with a strategic reset under new leadership and reduced restaurant openings. Near-term headwinds include margin compression from operational deleveraging, weak same-store sales, and pricing challenges, but positive FCF inflection is expected by FY 2027. Valuation scenarios suggest a price target range of $4.65 (bear) to $6.20 (bull), with risk justified at a small portfolio allocation given turnaround uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 29
PTLO: Future Upside Will Depend On Turnaround Execution In Underperforming Texas Market
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Portillo's higher by $0.44, citing recent bullish initiations that point to improving growth expectations, while also noting caution about margins and execution timing. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Portillo's, with some firms leaning constructive on the growth story and others urging patience given execution risk and recent financial trends.
Narrative Update • Apr 15
PTLO: Extended Texas Weakness And Limited Inflection Visibility Will Pressure Near Term Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to Portillo's implied price target of around $5, reflecting mixed views. Recent coverage highlights strong customer affinity but limited visibility on when the turnaround in comparable sales and new markets might show through in the numbers.Narrative Update • Mar 31
PTLO: Reset Plan And Texas Turnaround Prospects Will Shape Near Term Upside
Portillo's updated analyst price target holds near $5, with recent research pointing to higher modeled revenue growth, lower profit margin assumptions, and a much higher future P/E as analysts watch for clearer proof that traffic trends, new market performance, and the planned reset can gain traction. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has leaned cautious, with several firms highlighting execution risk around the reset plan, traffic trends, and new market performance.Narrative Update • Mar 17
PTLO: Unit Expansion And Operational Reset Will Support Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have trimmed Portillo's implied fair value estimate by about $0.41 to roughly $14.32. They attribute this to slightly softer margin and future P/E assumptions, while also pointing to muted momentum, limited visibility on a sales inflection and ongoing operational reset efforts.Narrative Update • Mar 03
PTLO: Transition Year Unit Expansion And EBITDA Reset Will Support Long-Term Margin Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their Portillo's fair value estimate by about $0.31 per share to $14.73, reflecting higher revenue growth assumptions, thinner profit margins, and a richer future P/E following recent price target adjustments, muted momentum commentary, and expectations for a transition year. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but constructive picture for Portillo's, with several bullish analysts still highlighting areas of support for the story even as others flag a transition year and cost pressures.Narrative Update • Feb 17
PTLO: Transition Year Execution Reset Will Support Same-Restaurant Sales And Margin Resilience
Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to their Portillo's price targets, trimming them by a few dollars to reflect muted same store sales momentum, expectations for a transition year with leadership changes and higher investments, and slightly softer long term margin assumptions, even as revenue growth and long term P/E expectations remain broadly intact. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but constructive picture, with some firms trimming expectations while others point to reasons for optimism as Portillo's works through what several describe as a transition period.Analysis Article • Feb 16
Is Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Feb 03
PTLO: Execution Reset Will Support Same-Restaurant Sales Stabilization And Margin Resilience
Our updated analyst price target for Portillo's moves slightly lower to about $15.04 from $15.25, as analysts factor in more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, tempered by modestly muted momentum, a transition year tied to leadership and investment shifts, and recent price target adjustments across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but useful picture for you if you are tracking Portillo's valuation reset and execution plans.Analysis Article • Jan 22
Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...Narrative Update • Jan 20
PTLO: Muted Traffic And Cost Pressures Will Restrain Near Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Portillo's by $1, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, a higher future P/E multiple, and modestly stronger revenue growth expectations, even as profit margin estimates ease and recent research continues to flag muted momentum, cost pressures, and a transition year ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Portillo's, with some firms lifting price targets modestly while others turn more cautious on execution, cost trends, and the near term growth setup.Narrative Update • Jan 06
PTLO: Fair Outlook Balances Same Store Sales Pressures And New Unit Plans
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Portillo's, with our fair value estimate moving to about $5 per share from roughly $7 as they factor in softer same store sales trends, higher G&A expenses, and ongoing questions around new unit productivity and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Portillo's has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and, in one case, downgrading the stock.Narrative Update • Dec 18
PTLO: Execution Improvements Will Drive Same-Restaurant Sales Stabilization And Margin Resilience
Analysts have reduced our Portillo's fair value estimate to $15.25 from $18.00. This reflects lower growth expectations and a reset sector valuation framework in light of recent price target cuts and concerns over same store sales trends, new unit productivity, and margin headwinds.Narrative Update • Dec 04
PTLO: Future Confidence Will Hinge On Same-Store Sales Reset Year Execution
Our Portillo's analyst price target has been revised lower to align with the Street's recent cuts, which range from about $1 to $4 per share, as analysts factor in weaker same store sales trends, higher G&A expenses, and greater uncertainty around new unit productivity and margins. Analyst Commentary Street research has turned more cautious on Portillo's outlook, with multiple recent price target cuts and at least one downgrade, reflecting growing concern around the balance of risk and reward at current valuation levels.Analysis Article • Nov 27
At US$5.21, Is Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Worth Looking At Closely?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...Narrative Update • Nov 20
PTLO: Confidence Will Return As Same-Store Sales Recovery Follows Leadership Reset
Portillo's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $8.15 from $9.75. Analysts cite lower expected revenue growth and margin pressure because of concerns over same-store sales and increased costs.Narrative Update • Nov 05
PTLO: Same-Store Sales Recovery Will Renew Confidence After FY25 Leadership Reset
Portillo's fair value price target has been modestly lowered from $9.85 to $9.75. Analysts cite continued uncertainty in same-store sales recovery and margin improvement, even though there have been incremental gains in projected revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Lower Targets for Portillo's Amid Leadership Changes and Cautious Growth Outlook
Portillo's fair value estimate has been reduced from $10.55 to $9.85. Analysts cite ongoing concerns over subdued demand trends, lower revenue growth expectations, and continued challenges to new store productivity and profitability.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Digital Technology And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Long-Term Opportunity
Analysts have lowered their fair value price target for Portillo's from $11.90 to $10.55. They cite reduced sales growth expectations and softer new store performance as key factors behind the revision.Narrative Update • Aug 07
Digital Technology And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Long-Term Opportunity
Portillo’s future P/E has increased notably while net profit margin is stable, suggesting higher valuation expectations despite unchanged fundamentals, with the consensus price target steady at $12.20. What's in the News Portillo's Inc.Analysis Article • Jul 30
Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) may be sending bearish signals at...Analysis Article • May 25
Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 15
Is There Now An Opportunity In Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO)?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Seeking Alpha • Mar 20
Portillo's: Surprising Recovery In Sales Growth, But Risks Remain
Summary Shares of Portillo's have handily beat the markets this year with a surprising 30%+ surge. Investors cheered the company's return to positive same-store sales comps, buoyed by recent price increases. The company is increasing prices by a further 1.5% in January, while also rolling out a new loyalty program, Portillo's Perks (which offers free fries immediately upon joining). The loyalty program as well as a continued expectation of labor wage bumps may have detrimental impacts on Portillo's margin expansion. Despite being cheap at ~8x adjusted EBITDA, I remain neutral and on the sidelines here. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 06
What Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) 51% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 51% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • Feb 02
We Think Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jan 20
Portillo's: Stock Skyrockets With 'Hartung Effect' And ICR Conference Success
Summary Portillo's has shown resilience with a 0.3% same-store sales growth in Q4 FY 2024, beating expectations and signaling potential positive sales for FY 2025. The introduction of 'Units of the Future 2.0' promises reduced construction costs and quicker payback periods, aiding expansion into smaller markets. The new 'Portillo's Perks' loyalty program, leveraging mobile wallets, aims to boost repeat visits and personalized promotions, targeting 1.5-1.7 million users by summer. With the 'Hartung Effect' and strategic growth plans, I raise my PT to $15, making Portillo's a buy at around $12. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 15
Should You Investigate Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) At US$11.63?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) P/E
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Dec 16
Portillo's: This High-Growth Fast-Casual Is Really Cheap Right Now
Summary Portillo's is rapidly expanding, growing from 61 to over 90 locations since its 2021 IPO, focusing on the Sunbelt with cost-effective prototypes. Despite declining comparable sales, PTLO maintains strong top-line growth, targeting 920 locations with a 12–15% annual growth rate. The stock has fallen 40.3% YTD, presenting a buying opportunity under $10, with a potential upside to $12 as new markets and a loyalty program rollout. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
Portillo's: Weak Same-Store Sales Are Concerning (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I'm downgrading Portillo's to neutral due to declining same-store sales and disappointing Q3 earnings, despite previous optimism about its regional expansion. Declining same-store sales may finally be a reaction to recent price increases to combat inflation. The company’s valuation remains attractive compared to peers, but guidance cuts and declining sales trends warrant a cautious “watch and wait” approach. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 14
Portillo's: Bank On This Turnaround As Hot Dog Chain Goes Nationwide
Summary I recommend buying Portillo's stock due to its potential for a turnaround, driven by strategic expansion and improved margins despite recent poor performance. Portillo's plans to build out smaller store footprints to enhance profitability, and expand its store count by 10%+ annually. Despite a slowdown in same-store sales, Portillo's maintains strong operating metrics with high average unit volumes and competitive restaurant-level margins. The stock trades at a much cheaper revenue and EBITDA multiple versus many restaurant peers, which offers a nice cushion against its fundamental risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| PTLO | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| 1Y | -67.2% | -6.7% | 27.0% |
Return vs Industry: PTLO underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -6.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PTLO underperformed the US Market which returned 27% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PTLO volatility | |
|---|---|
| PTLO Average Weekly Movement | 8.8% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.9% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
Stable Share Price: PTLO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: PTLO's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1963 | 7,890 | Brett Patterson | www.portillos.com |
Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen.
Portillo's Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| PTLO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$304.74m |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$15.63m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$738.25m |
18.3x
P/E Ratio0.4x
P/S RatioIs PTLO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PTLO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$738.25m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$581.66m |
| Gross Profit | US$156.59m |
| Other Expenses | US$140.96m |
| Earnings | US$15.63m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 29, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.22 |
| Gross Margin | 21.21% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.12% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 69.3% |
How did PTLO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/03 21:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/29 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Portillo's Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |
| Matthew Curtis | D.A. Davidson & Co. |