Portillo's Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Portillo's is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.9% and 10.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.2% in 3 years.
Key information
13.9%
Earnings growth rate
4.6%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 23.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.8% |
| Future return on equity | 6.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) P/E
Dec 19
Portillo's: This High-Growth Fast-Casual Is Really Cheap Right Now
Dec 16Portillo's: Weak Same-Store Sales Are Concerning (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 20Portillo's: Bank On This Turnaround As Hot Dog Chain Goes Nationwide
Oct 14Is Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Using Too Much Debt?
Oct 08Portillo's: A Hidden Gem Investment In The Fast-Casual Restaurant Industry
Oct 07Is Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Potentially Undervalued?
Sep 14Portillo's: Activist Involvement Should Improve Expansion Efforts
Sep 04What Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Aug 21Portillo's: Buying The Beef And The Stock
Jun 30Is Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Using Too Much Debt?
Jun 21Portillo's: Great Promise Of Growth, High Debts And A Lot Of Speculation
May 10Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
May 10Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO)?
Apr 28Portillo's: Delicious Food, Tasty Valuation
Mar 22Portillo's Q4: Depressed Valuation Continues To Be Buying Opportunity
Mar 13Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Not Flying Under The Radar
Feb 28Portillo's: Getting More Interesting But Still Not A Buy
Jan 12What Does Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) Share Price Indicate?
Jan 04Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
Nov 03Portillo's: Long Runway Of Growth In A Big TAM
Oct 07Portillo's Will Do Better As It Grows
Sep 09Portillo's: Second Quarter Sales Outperformance Solidify Strong Long-Term Growth Thesis
Aug 11Portillo’s Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Aug 03Portillo's: Valuation Improving After The Drop
Jun 03Portillo's: Significant First Quarter Sales Growth Solidifies Long-Term Outperformance Thesis
May 10Portillo's: Solid Long-Term Thesis Remains Intact On Strong Fourth Quarter Sales Growth
Mar 19Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 900 | 34 | -9 | 91 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 793 | 26 | -9 | 90 | 11 |
| 12/31/2024 | 711 | 23 | -21 | 66 | 11 |
| 9/29/2024 | 714 | 26 | 2 | 89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 702 | 23 | -3 | 81 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 690 | 24 | -11 | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 680 | 18 | -17 | 71 | N/A |
| 9/24/2023 | 643 | 15 | -3 | 71 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 627 | 12 | -8 | 63 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 609 | 10 | 2 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 587 | 11 | 10 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/25/2022 | 575 | -51 | 3 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 562 | -51 | 4 | 35 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 552 | -48 | 7 | 39 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 535 | -54 | 7 | 43 | N/A |
| 9/26/2021 | 515 | 3 | 21 | 60 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 496 | 5 | 33 | 70 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 464 | -8 | 22 | 53 | N/A |
| 12/27/2020 | 455 | -8 | 37 | 58 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 479 | -13 | 21 | 43 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PTLO's forecast earnings growth (13.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: PTLO's earnings (13.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PTLO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: PTLO's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PTLO's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PTLO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/10 01:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/29 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Portillo's Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |
| Brian Mullan | Deutsche Bank |